Seasonal patterns of habitat use by a mesopredator in boreal forest landscapes fragmented by fire

Abstract

Wildfire is the most impactful disturbance regime in the North American boreal region, driving the structure and composition of forests across the region. Recent climate models predict that increasing fire intensity and frequency will result in a shift from a largely coniferous forest to one with a greater dominance by deciduous species. We investigated how an iconic predator of the boreal system, the Canada lynx (Lynx canadensis), moves through a range of burn scars (4–73 years old). Using GPS collars at 4-h fix rates, we fitted integrated step selection models to lynx movements across an 80-year post-fire chronosequence to assess habitat selection in both deciduous and coniferous forests. We predicted that lynx would primarily select intermediately aged spruce and young deciduous stands, mirroring previous research on the habitat selection of their main prey, snowshoe hares (Lepus americanus). We found, however, that lynx habitat selection peaked at intermediately aged stands in both forest types, with selection for younger deciduous stands in the winter months. There was no seasonal change in coniferous stands as they experience little change in cover across seasons. We hypothesize that lynx select for habitats that maximize capture probability as opposed to simply habitats with the highest hare density. Together, these results show that lynx can be resilient to short-term shifts toward intermediate-aged stands. However, these benefits will likely diminish in the longer term as the decrease in fire return interval may reduce the prevalence of intermediate-aged stands.