{"title":"Integrating cell-free DNA methylation of SEPT9 and SFRP2 into a machine learning model for early diagnosis of HCC.","authors":"Dong Wang, Zhihao Dai, Minghua Bai, Dong Liu, Yanru Feng, Quanquan Sun, Tong Zhang, Liang Han, Rui Wang, Ji Zhu, Weifeng Hong, Weiwei Li","doi":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2541574","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a primary contributor to cancer-associated mortality, necessitates enhanced early detection. This study evaluated machine learning models that merge methylated SEPTIN9 (SEPT9) and secreted frizzled-related protein 2 (SFRP2) within circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect HCC.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort of 165 healthy volunteers, 24 precancerous patients of HCC and 112 HCC patients were divided into training and validation sets. Methylated SEPT9 and SFRP2 (mSEPT9/mSFRP2) were detected using real-time PCR. Based on those methylation biomarkers and/or conventional biomarkers (CEA, AFP, CA125, and CA19-9), six machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest (RF), were employed to establish models for the training set. Models were evaluated for area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity, and subsequently validated in the validation set.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The RF model outperformed other models. In training, it achieved an AUC of 0.834 (95% CI: 0.745-0.923), exhibiting 69.3% sensitivity and 80.6% specificity for the methylation-specific signature group (mSS group: mSEPT9/mSFRP2). In validation, the RF model for the mSS group showed an AUC of 0.865 (95% CI: 0.811-0.946), with 85.4% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The RF-based model integrating mSEPT9/mSFRP2 in cfDNA can be a promising approach for HCC diagnosis.</p>","PeriodicalId":9182,"journal":{"name":"Biomarkers in medicine","volume":" ","pages":"737-745"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12416165/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Biomarkers in medicine","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17520363.2025.2541574","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/8/4 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a primary contributor to cancer-associated mortality, necessitates enhanced early detection. This study evaluated machine learning models that merge methylated SEPTIN9 (SEPT9) and secreted frizzled-related protein 2 (SFRP2) within circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect HCC.
Methods: A cohort of 165 healthy volunteers, 24 precancerous patients of HCC and 112 HCC patients were divided into training and validation sets. Methylated SEPT9 and SFRP2 (mSEPT9/mSFRP2) were detected using real-time PCR. Based on those methylation biomarkers and/or conventional biomarkers (CEA, AFP, CA125, and CA19-9), six machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest (RF), were employed to establish models for the training set. Models were evaluated for area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity, and subsequently validated in the validation set.
Results: The RF model outperformed other models. In training, it achieved an AUC of 0.834 (95% CI: 0.745-0.923), exhibiting 69.3% sensitivity and 80.6% specificity for the methylation-specific signature group (mSS group: mSEPT9/mSFRP2). In validation, the RF model for the mSS group showed an AUC of 0.865 (95% CI: 0.811-0.946), with 85.4% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity.
Conclusions: The RF-based model integrating mSEPT9/mSFRP2 in cfDNA can be a promising approach for HCC diagnosis.
期刊介绍:
Biomarkers are physical, functional or biochemical indicators of physiological or disease processes. These key indicators can provide vital information in determining disease prognosis, in predicting of response to therapies, adverse events and drug interactions, and in establishing baseline risk. The explosion of interest in biomarker research is driving the development of new predictive, diagnostic and prognostic products in modern medical practice, and biomarkers are also playing an increasingly important role in the discovery and development of new drugs. For the full utility of biomarkers to be realized, we require greater understanding of disease mechanisms, and the interplay between disease mechanisms, therapeutic interventions and the proposed biomarkers. However, in attempting to evaluate the pros and cons of biomarkers systematically, we are moving into new, challenging territory.
Biomarkers in Medicine (ISSN 1752-0363) is a peer-reviewed, rapid publication journal delivering commentary and analysis on the advances in our understanding of biomarkers and their potential and actual applications in medicine. The journal facilitates translation of our research knowledge into the clinic to increase the effectiveness of medical practice.
As the scientific rationale and regulatory acceptance for biomarkers in medicine and in drug development become more fully established, Biomarkers in Medicine provides the platform for all players in this increasingly vital area to communicate and debate all issues relating to the potential utility and applications.
Each issue includes a diversity of content to provide rounded coverage for the research professional. Articles include Guest Editorials, Interviews, Reviews, Research Articles, Perspectives, Priority Paper Evaluations, Special Reports, Case Reports, Conference Reports and Company Profiles. Review coverage is divided into themed sections according to area of therapeutic utility with some issues including themed sections on an area of topical interest.
Biomarkers in Medicine provides a platform for commentary and debate for all professionals with an interest in the identification of biomarkers, elucidation of their role and formalization and approval of their application in modern medicine. The audience for Biomarkers in Medicine includes academic and industrial researchers, clinicians, pathologists, clinical chemists and regulatory professionals.