{"title":"Risk assessment and simulation optimization of evacuation in large public building fires: A case study","authors":"Qiang Li, Zaohong Zhou, Yunbin Sun, Hongjun He","doi":"10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100454","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Fires in large public buildings cause substantial losses. Conducting reasonable evacuation risk assessments and simulation studies for early warning is essential. A comprehensive fire evacuation risk assessment model is proposed, consisting of a fire evacuation risk assessment framework based on Pythagorean fuzzy sets(PFS) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation(FCE) and fire evacuation simulations. The fire evacuation risk assessment is conducted using PFS and FCE. Simulations with BIM, Pyrosim, and Pathfinder validate the results through dynamic safety analysis. This innovative approach enhances the dynamic safety analysis of evacuations. Additionally, the study improves the integration between Pyrosim and Pathfinder software, providing more accurate and reliable simulation results. Taking a cafeteria for primary and secondary school students as an example, the results indicate that the fire evacuation risk level of the student cafeteria is “moderately high risk.” Visibility is found to be the most critical factor affecting available safe evacuation time, compared to CO concentration, smoke layer height, and temperature. Not all cafeteria occupants could evacuate within the preset time, and significant congestion was observed. Thus, the assessment results are deemed reliable. Based on these results, targeted fire safety evacuation control strategies are proposed to enhance the efficiency and safety of evacuations in similar venues.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":52341,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Disaster Science","volume":"27 ","pages":"Article 100454"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Progress in Disaster Science","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061725000511","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Fires in large public buildings cause substantial losses. Conducting reasonable evacuation risk assessments and simulation studies for early warning is essential. A comprehensive fire evacuation risk assessment model is proposed, consisting of a fire evacuation risk assessment framework based on Pythagorean fuzzy sets(PFS) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation(FCE) and fire evacuation simulations. The fire evacuation risk assessment is conducted using PFS and FCE. Simulations with BIM, Pyrosim, and Pathfinder validate the results through dynamic safety analysis. This innovative approach enhances the dynamic safety analysis of evacuations. Additionally, the study improves the integration between Pyrosim and Pathfinder software, providing more accurate and reliable simulation results. Taking a cafeteria for primary and secondary school students as an example, the results indicate that the fire evacuation risk level of the student cafeteria is “moderately high risk.” Visibility is found to be the most critical factor affecting available safe evacuation time, compared to CO concentration, smoke layer height, and temperature. Not all cafeteria occupants could evacuate within the preset time, and significant congestion was observed. Thus, the assessment results are deemed reliable. Based on these results, targeted fire safety evacuation control strategies are proposed to enhance the efficiency and safety of evacuations in similar venues.
期刊介绍:
Progress in Disaster Science is a Gold Open Access journal focusing on integrating research and policy in disaster research, and publishes original research papers and invited viewpoint articles on disaster risk reduction; response; emergency management and recovery.
A key part of the Journal's Publication output will see key experts invited to assess and comment on the current trends in disaster research, as well as highlight key papers.