Niels Bal, Christopher Pell, Michaela Theilmann, Katja Polman, Trynke Hoekstra, Bongekile Thobekile Cindzi, Ntombikele Ginindza, Sijabulile Dlamini, Lisa Stehr, Harsh Vivek Harkare, Ria Reis, Frank van Leth
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Sub-Saharan Africa faces a double burden of disease due to the continued high prevalence of infectious diseases such as HIV and tuberculosis, and a concurrent increase in non-communicable diseases. The co-occurrence and clustering of multiple diseases can cause a syndemic, synergistically interacting epidemics, driven by context.
Methods: This cross-sectional study investigated potential syndemics in Eswatini, by determining geospatial disease concentration and estimating interaction between four diseases and the impact of context on these interactions. Using data from the WHOPEN@Scale household survey, we estimated generalised linear models with a quasi-Poisson link, incorporating three-way interaction terms. Joint effect estimates and the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) between diseases and contextual factors were estimated.
Results: Conditions with comorbid depression were concentrated in the middle of the country near the capital, and the combinations without depression mostly in the north. Additive interaction was found between HIV and diabetes across all three contextual factors, in particular for people who are the sole household member aged 30 or above RERI: 0.46 (95% CI 0.12 to 0.80) and those who had lost their partner RERI: 0.44 (95% CI 0.02 to 0.86).
Conclusions: We show that HIV and diabetes exhibit syndemic properties, indicated by geospatial variation, additive interaction as well as interaction with context. The lifelong chronicity and stigmatising nature of both diseases emphasise the importance of the social and financial context surrounding affected individuals. While the other disease pairs did not exhibit syndemic properties, the worst health outcomes among the double-exposed stipulate that comorbidity remains important within treatment guidelines.
背景:撒哈拉以南非洲面临着双重疾病负担,原因是艾滋病毒和结核病等传染病持续高发,同时非传染性疾病也在增加。多种疾病的共同发生和聚集可引起由环境驱动的共病、协同相互作用的流行病。方法:本横断面研究通过确定地理空间疾病浓度,估计四种疾病之间的相互作用以及环境对这些相互作用的影响,调查了斯瓦蒂尼地区潜在的综合征。利用WHOPEN@Scale家庭调查的数据,我们估计了具有准泊松链接的广义线性模型,其中包含三方相互作用项。估计了疾病与环境因素之间的联合效应估计和相互作用的相对超额风险(rei)。结果:伴有抑郁症的患者多集中在中部地区首都附近,无抑郁症的患者多集中在北部地区。在所有三个背景因素中发现艾滋病毒和糖尿病之间的附加相互作用,特别是对于30岁或以上的唯一家庭成员的rei: 0.46 (95% CI 0.12至0.80)和那些失去伴侣的rei: 0.44 (95% CI 0.02至0.86)。结论:我们发现HIV和糖尿病表现出综合特征,表现为地理空间变异、加性相互作用以及与环境的相互作用。这两种疾病的终身慢性和污名化性质强调了受影响个体周围社会和经济环境的重要性。虽然其他疾病组没有表现出综合征的特征,但双重暴露者的最坏健康结果表明,合并症在治疗指南中仍然很重要。
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health is a leading international journal devoted to publication of original research and reviews covering applied, methodological and theoretical issues with emphasis on studies using multidisciplinary or integrative approaches. The journal aims to improve epidemiological knowledge and ultimately health worldwide.