{"title":"Systematic index option-writing strategies with Black-Scholes-Merton and Variance-Gamma Models","authors":"Maciej Wysocki , Robert Ślepaczuk","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107234","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study evaluates systematic S&P 500 Index option-writing strategies, comparing the hedging performance of the Black–Scholes-Merton (BSM) and Variance-Gamma (VG) models, bridging the gap between theoretical models and their practical applications in trading. Using 1-minute data from 2018 to 2023, we assess hedged and unhedged strategies against buy-and-hold benchmarks, incorporating transaction costs to validate different hedging and sizing methodologies. Our findings reveal that systematic option writing can generate superior risk-adjusted returns. The BSM model generally outperforms the VG model in hedging, leveraging implied volatility to reflect market conditions accurately. However, the VG model proves valuable for position sizing in certain naked strategies, capturing skewness and kurtosis to manage tail risks. Intraday hedging at 130 min intervals offers effective downside protection while preserving return potential. The insights on hedging and sizing presented in this study provide actionable guidance for institutional and non-institutional participants in options markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"152 ","pages":"Article 107234"},"PeriodicalIF":4.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325002299","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study evaluates systematic S&P 500 Index option-writing strategies, comparing the hedging performance of the Black–Scholes-Merton (BSM) and Variance-Gamma (VG) models, bridging the gap between theoretical models and their practical applications in trading. Using 1-minute data from 2018 to 2023, we assess hedged and unhedged strategies against buy-and-hold benchmarks, incorporating transaction costs to validate different hedging and sizing methodologies. Our findings reveal that systematic option writing can generate superior risk-adjusted returns. The BSM model generally outperforms the VG model in hedging, leveraging implied volatility to reflect market conditions accurately. However, the VG model proves valuable for position sizing in certain naked strategies, capturing skewness and kurtosis to manage tail risks. Intraday hedging at 130 min intervals offers effective downside protection while preserving return potential. The insights on hedging and sizing presented in this study provide actionable guidance for institutional and non-institutional participants in options markets.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.