On Why Practice Needs Generic Guidance on How to Define and Understand the Concept of Risk.

IF 3.3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-25 DOI:10.1111/risa.70086
Terje Aven
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Many definitions of the risk term exist, and there is considerable debate about the most suitable ways of conceptualizing and describing risk. This perspective paper discusses the importance of this debate: What is the value of searching for some best knowledge on the topic that can provide guidance for practical use when assessing, communicating, and managing risk? Risk is a basic concept in different types of applications, like insurance, engineering, health, business, and climate change, but is there a need and rationale to make generic conclusions regarding what is the most appropriate knowledge across the applications? Should the fundamental principle not be that different situations call for different definitions? In line with this principle, the best way to conceptualize and describe risk should be determined by the users, taking into account all relevant factors of the situation considered, as well as their insights and experiences using the risk term. The main aim of the paper is to argue that such a pragmatic perspective on risk conceptualization and characterization is anti-scientific and could have serious consequences for the understanding, assessment, communication, and management of risk. Several examples are used to support this conclusion.

为什么实践需要关于如何定义和理解风险概念的通用指导。
存在许多风险术语的定义,关于概念化和描述风险的最合适方法存在相当大的争论。这篇观点论文讨论了这场辩论的重要性:在评估、沟通和管理风险时,在这个主题上寻找一些可以为实际应用提供指导的最佳知识的价值是什么?风险在不同类型的应用程序(如保险、工程、健康、商业和气候变化)中是一个基本概念,但是是否有必要和理由就跨应用程序最合适的知识做出一般性结论?基本原则不应该是不同的情况需要不同的定义吗?根据这一原则,概念化和描述风险的最佳方式应由用户决定,考虑到所考虑的情况的所有相关因素,以及他们使用风险术语的见解和经验。本文的主要目的是论证这种对风险概念化和表征的实用主义观点是反科学的,并且可能对风险的理解、评估、沟通和管理产生严重后果。几个例子被用来支持这一结论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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