Evaluation of surface wind speed over East Asia and the adjacent ocean in three reanalyses using satellite and in-situ observations

Abstract

Surface wind speed (SWS) not only plays a crucial role in regulating the Earth's energy and hydrological cycle, but also is an important source of sustainable renewable energy. This study assesses the credibility of SWSs in three reanalyses (ERA5, MERRA2, and JRA-55) in East Asia using both satellite and in-situ observations. Results show all three reanalyses can capture the spatial pattern of SWS as in observations, yet there are notable differences in magnitude. On land, ERA5 and MERRA2 overestimate the SWS by about 0.6 and 1.5 m s⁻¹, respectively, whereas JRA-55 underestimates it. The biases over the oceans are opposite to those on land and are relatively small due to the assimilation of observations of oceanic surface winds. Overall, JRA-55 and ERA5 offer better estimates of seasonal means and variances of SWS than MERRA2. The observed SWS shows a negative trend of −0.08 m s⁻¹/10 yr on land and a positive trend of 0.09 m s⁻¹/10 yr in the western North Pacific. Only JRA-55 shows similar trends to observations over both land and ocean, while ERA5 and MERRA2 show varying degrees of deviation from the observations. Further investigation shows that there is a strong link between the trend of SWS and that of the large-scale circulation, and that a large part of the SWS trend can be attributed to changes in large-scale circulations.

摘要

利用卫星和地面站点观测数据, 本文对再分析产品中的地表风速 (SWS) 进行了可信度评估. 研究结果表明, 再分析产品能够较好地再现SWS的观测分布特征, 但在风速的量级上则存在显著差异. 具体而言, 在陆地区域, ERA5和MERRA2分别高估了约0.6 m s⁻¹和1.5 m s⁻¹, 而JRA-55则存在低估现象; 而在海洋区域, 偏差情况与陆地相反. 总体来看, JRA-55和ERA5在模拟SWS的气候态及其变率方面, 更加接近观测数据. 其中, JRA-55中SWS的年代际趋势与观测数据最为一致.