Promoting the energy transition: The role of decision context and climate risk in the investment in solar versus nuclear energy.

IF 3.3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-07-22 DOI:10.1111/risa.70065
Elisa Tedaldi, Marta Caserotti, Paolo Girardi, Teresa Gavaruzzi, Alessandra Tasso, Lorella Lotto, Enrico Rubaltelli, Roberta Sellaro
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Abstract

The energy transition requires modernizing the energy sector and investing in alternatives to fossil fuels. Both nuclear and renewable energies are potential solutions to lower carbon emissions, although nuclear power is generally less favored by public opinion. We investigated whether support and feelings for solar farms and nuclear power plants construction vary depending on whether these energy sources are evaluated separately (SE) or jointly (JE). We also examined how climate change risk perception influences willingness to invest (WTI) in these power plants and their perceived risks. Results confirmed that solar farms elicited more positive attitudes and feelings than nuclear power plants. Crucially, when evaluated in JE (vs. SE), solar farms were viewed even more positively and received greater support, whereas nuclear plants were perceived more negatively. Climate change risk perception correlated with the perception of nuclear plants as riskier and solar farms as less risky. There was marginally significant evidence that the former relationship emerged only in SE, whereas the latter was more pronounced in SE (vs. JE). Furthermore, climate change risk perception positively predicted the WTI in solar farms, but only in JE. In contrast, the WTI in nuclear power remained unaffected in both contexts. Finally, the perceived risk of each energy source was negatively associated with the WTI in them. These results offer insights into the psychological factors influencing people's perception and support for alternative energy infrastructures and can help develop effective communication strategies to facilitate a smooth and successful energy transition.

促进能源转型:决策背景和气候风险在太阳能与核能投资中的作用。
能源转型需要实现能源部门的现代化,并投资于化石燃料的替代品。核能和可再生能源都是降低碳排放的潜在解决方案,尽管公众舆论普遍不太喜欢核能。我们调查了对太阳能发电场和核电站建设的支持和感受是否取决于这些能源是单独评估(SE)还是联合评估(JE)。我们还研究了气候变化风险感知如何影响这些电厂的投资意愿及其感知风险。结果证实,太阳能发电场比核电站更能引起积极的态度和感受。至关重要的是,在《乙脑》(相对于《东南》)中进行评估时,人们对太阳能发电场的看法更为积极,得到了更多的支持,而对核电站的看法则更为消极。气候变化风险认知与认为核电站风险更大、认为太阳能发电场风险更小的认知相关。有轻微显著的证据表明,前者的关系仅在SE中出现,而后者在SE中更为明显(与乙脑相比)。此外,气候变化风险感知正向预测太阳能发电场的WTI,但仅在乙脑。相比之下,核能领域的WTI在这两种情况下都未受到影响。最后,各能源的感知风险与其中的WTI呈负相关。这些结果提供了对影响人们对替代能源基础设施的看法和支持的心理因素的见解,并有助于制定有效的沟通策略,以促进顺利和成功的能源转型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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