{"title":"Does education affect fertility timing? Evidence from Taiwan","authors":"Yichen Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102499","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the causal effect of Taiwan's 1968 compulsory schooling laws (CSLs) on fertility timing for women using a fuzzy regression discontinuity approach. I demonstrate that the CSLs have delayed women's fertility timing. The estimates reveal that the CSLs reduced the probability of women having children for first and second births at a young age and increased the probability of having children at an older age for first and second births, implying an intertemporal substitution of childbirth for these births. My investigation of the mechanisms involved indicates that women delaying marriage drove this relationship. Overall, the findings indicate that the CSLs have significantly affected the fertility timing of women in Taiwan.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102499"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"中国经济评论","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043951X25001579","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study investigates the causal effect of Taiwan's 1968 compulsory schooling laws (CSLs) on fertility timing for women using a fuzzy regression discontinuity approach. I demonstrate that the CSLs have delayed women's fertility timing. The estimates reveal that the CSLs reduced the probability of women having children for first and second births at a young age and increased the probability of having children at an older age for first and second births, implying an intertemporal substitution of childbirth for these births. My investigation of the mechanisms involved indicates that women delaying marriage drove this relationship. Overall, the findings indicate that the CSLs have significantly affected the fertility timing of women in Taiwan.
期刊介绍:
The China Economic Review publishes original works of scholarship which add to the knowledge of the economy of China and to economies as a discipline. We seek, in particular, papers dealing with policy, performance and institutional change. Empirical papers normally use a formal model, a data set, and standard statistical techniques. Submissions are subjected to double-blind peer review.