Evaluating risk factors for skeletal-related events among bone metastases from solid tumors.

Abstract

Background and purpose: Skeletal-related events (SRE) are a major source of morbidity and mortality across cancer types. Identification of risk factors for SRE and association with survival would facilitate more targeted preventive treatment.

Materials and methods: This retrospective cohort study included patients with bone metastases from solid tumors undergoing systemic imaging from February-March 2022 who had not received radiation within one year. Survival was analyzed using Cox models, and multi-state models assessed factors linked to SRE with death as a competing risk. Outcomes were SRE (including radiation for pain) and all-cause death. Variables included tumor type, metastasis site, and trial eligibility.

Results: Among 410 patients (median age 67 years; 48 % male), 162 (40 %) experienced SRE over a median follow-up of 26.8 months. Seventy-five (18.3 %) received radiation for pain alone. Experiencing any type of SRE (HR 1.98, 95 % CI 1.47-2.67, p < 0.001) or radiation for pain alone (HR 2.14, 95 % CI 1.57-2.92, p < 0.001) were both associated with increased mortality. Patients eligible for a trial of early radiation were more likely to develop SRE (HR 1.67, 95 % CI 1.18-2.37, p = 0.004). Prostate cancer histology (HR 1.70, p = 0.02) and metastases to the hip/acetabulum (HR 2.55, p = 0.02) were associated with SRE.

Conclusion: Patients treated with radiation for pain alone demonstrated similar risk of death as those experiencing any type of SRE, supporting the inclusion of radiation in endpoint definitions. Prostate cancer type and hip/acetabulum metastasis location may help identify patients and lesions at elevated SRE risk, informing future preventive strategies.