Fine-grained prediction of solar-wind deployment unlocks China’s 2060 pathways to carbon neutrality and lower energy costs

IF 32.4 1区材料科学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Energy & Environmental Science Pub Date : 2025-07-18 DOI:10.1039/d5ee01853f

Jing Guo, Ruomei Wang, Li Zhang, Siqin Wang, Linyan Li, Mengbing Du, Fangyuan Zhong, Chuan Zhang, Yafei Li, Yixuan Zheng, Xiaoya Liu, Xi Lu, Jinnan Wang

{"title":"Fine-grained prediction of solar-wind deployment unlocks China’s 2060 pathways to carbon neutrality and lower energy costs","authors":"Jing Guo, Ruomei Wang, Li Zhang, Siqin Wang, Linyan Li, Mengbing Du, Fangyuan Zhong, Chuan Zhang, Yafei Li, Yixuan Zheng, Xiaoya Liu, Xi Lu, Jinnan Wang","doi":"10.1039/d5ee01853f","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The global transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy is vital for mitigating climate change, yet plans to transition China are generally coarsely resolved. This study introduces the China New Energy Database, offering the first 10-km resolution feasibility ranking for wind and solar installations across China. By incorporating land-use regulations and construction constraints, we present an optimized development pathway from 2022 to 2060. Our results highlight substantial climate and economic benefits of renewable energy deployment, with wind and solar energy reducing up to 16.9 billion tons of carbon emissions and generating 13.8 trillion CNY economic benefits by 2060. Regions with abundant renewable resources show significant potential for economic gains, demonstrating that reasonable strategic deployment could effectively “turn resources into gold”. These insights serve as a valuable reference for countries like India, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa in their transition to renewable energy, contributing to global progress in sustainable energy systems. [150 words]","PeriodicalId":72,"journal":{"name":"Energy & Environmental Science","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":32.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy & Environmental Science","FirstCategoryId":"88","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1039/d5ee01853f","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"材料科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The global transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy is vital for mitigating climate change, yet plans to transition China are generally coarsely resolved. This study introduces the China New Energy Database, offering the first 10-km resolution feasibility ranking for wind and solar installations across China. By incorporating land-use regulations and construction constraints, we present an optimized development pathway from 2022 to 2060. Our results highlight substantial climate and economic benefits of renewable energy deployment, with wind and solar energy reducing up to 16.9 billion tons of carbon emissions and generating 13.8 trillion CNY economic benefits by 2060. Regions with abundant renewable resources show significant potential for economic gains, demonstrating that reasonable strategic deployment could effectively “turn resources into gold”. These insights serve as a valuable reference for countries like India, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa in their transition to renewable energy, contributing to global progress in sustainable energy systems. [150 words]

查看原文本刊更多论文

对太阳能风能部署的精细预测为中国2060年实现碳中和和降低能源成本开辟了道路

全球从化石燃料向可再生能源的转型对于减缓气候变化至关重要，但中国的转型计划总体上已大致确定。这项研究引入了中国新能源数据库，提供了中国风能和太阳能装置的第一个10公里分辨率可行性排名。通过结合土地利用法规和建设约束，我们提出了2022 - 2060年的优化发展路径。我们的研究结果突出了可再生能源部署带来的巨大气候和经济效益，到2060年，风能和太阳能将减少169亿吨碳排放，产生13.8万亿元人民币的经济效益。再生资源丰富的地区经济效益潜力显著，合理的战略部署可以有效地“变废为宝”。这些见解为印度、沙特阿拉伯和南非等国向可再生能源转型提供了宝贵的参考，为全球可持续能源系统的发展做出了贡献。(150字)

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Energy & Environmental Science 化学-工程：化工

CiteScore

50.50

自引率

2.20%

发文量

349

审稿时长

2.2 months

期刊介绍： Energy & Environmental Science, a peer-reviewed scientific journal, publishes original research and review articles covering interdisciplinary topics in the (bio)chemical and (bio)physical sciences, as well as chemical engineering disciplines. Published monthly by the Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC), a not-for-profit publisher, Energy & Environmental Science is recognized as a leading journal. It boasts an impressive impact factor of 8.500 as of 2009, ranking 8th among 140 journals in the category "Chemistry, Multidisciplinary," second among 71 journals in "Energy & Fuels," second among 128 journals in "Engineering, Chemical," and first among 181 scientific journals in "Environmental Sciences." Energy & Environmental Science publishes various types of articles, including Research Papers (original scientific work), Review Articles, Perspectives, and Minireviews (feature review-type articles of broad interest), Communications (original scientific work of an urgent nature), Opinions (personal, often speculative viewpoints or hypotheses on current topics), and Analysis Articles (in-depth examination of energy-related issues).