{"title":"Combined lung compliance and oxygenation dynamics predict high-flow nasal cannula failure in acute respiratory distress syndrome: a retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Huan Zhao, Ting Yao, Hong Liu","doi":"10.62347/ELGT2750","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objectives: </strong>To evaluate the combined predictive value of lung compliance and dynamic oxygenation parameters for high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) outcomes.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>In this single-center retrospective cohort study, 154 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) treated with HFNC (flow ≥50 L/min, fraction of inspired oxygen [FiO<sub>2</sub>] ≥0.5) between 2019 and 2022 were analyzed. Data collected included baseline characteristics, lung compliance (measured via mechanical ventilation or computed tomography [CT]), blood gas parameters-partial pressure of arterial oxygen to FiO<sub>2</sub> ratio (PaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub>) and its 24-hour change (ΔPaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub>) and clinical outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to identify predictors. A nomogram was constructed based on the regression model and validated using ROC curves and calibration plots.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Low baseline lung compliance (<30 mL/cmH<sub>2</sub>O) was independently associated with HFNC failure (odds ratio [OR] =3.52, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.92-6.45, P<0.001), as was ΔPaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub><20% at 24 hours (OR=2.84, 95% CI: 1.48-5.43, P=0.002). The combined model yielded superior predictive performance (area under the curve [AUC] =0.88) compared to lung compliance (AUC=0.82) or ΔPaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub> alone (AUC=0.73). The nomogram demonstrated good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.41) and potential clinical utility. Patients with HFNC failure had longer ICU stays (median 14 vs. 7 days, P<0.001) and higher complication rates, including ventilator-associated pneumonia (34.8% vs. 8.3%, P<0.001) and barotrauma (10.9% vs. 1.9%, P=0.032).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The combination of lung compliance and ΔPaO<sub>2</sub>/FiO<sub>2</sub> improves early identification of HFNC failure and mortality risk, facilitating timely escalation to invasive ventilation. Prospective multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings.</p>","PeriodicalId":7731,"journal":{"name":"American journal of translational research","volume":"17 6","pages":"4175-4186"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12261171/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"American journal of translational research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.62347/ELGT2750","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objectives: To evaluate the combined predictive value of lung compliance and dynamic oxygenation parameters for high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) outcomes.
Methods: In this single-center retrospective cohort study, 154 patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) treated with HFNC (flow ≥50 L/min, fraction of inspired oxygen [FiO2] ≥0.5) between 2019 and 2022 were analyzed. Data collected included baseline characteristics, lung compliance (measured via mechanical ventilation or computed tomography [CT]), blood gas parameters-partial pressure of arterial oxygen to FiO2 ratio (PaO2/FiO2) and its 24-hour change (ΔPaO2/FiO2) and clinical outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed to identify predictors. A nomogram was constructed based on the regression model and validated using ROC curves and calibration plots.
Results: Low baseline lung compliance (<30 mL/cmH2O) was independently associated with HFNC failure (odds ratio [OR] =3.52, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.92-6.45, P<0.001), as was ΔPaO2/FiO2<20% at 24 hours (OR=2.84, 95% CI: 1.48-5.43, P=0.002). The combined model yielded superior predictive performance (area under the curve [AUC] =0.88) compared to lung compliance (AUC=0.82) or ΔPaO2/FiO2 alone (AUC=0.73). The nomogram demonstrated good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow test, P=0.41) and potential clinical utility. Patients with HFNC failure had longer ICU stays (median 14 vs. 7 days, P<0.001) and higher complication rates, including ventilator-associated pneumonia (34.8% vs. 8.3%, P<0.001) and barotrauma (10.9% vs. 1.9%, P=0.032).
Conclusions: The combination of lung compliance and ΔPaO2/FiO2 improves early identification of HFNC failure and mortality risk, facilitating timely escalation to invasive ventilation. Prospective multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings.