Disease Burden of Autism Spectrum Disorder and Attention - Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in the 0-14 Age Group across 204 Countries and Regions from 1990 To 2021.

IF 2.3 3区 医学 Q2 PSYCHIATRY
Fuyu Yang, Runze Chen, Jun Xiong, Baixi Liu
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Abstract

This study aims to systematically analyze the disease burden of Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) in children aged 0-14 years, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database. By examining their temporal trends, regional distributions, and demographic differences, the study seeks to elucidate the epidemiological similarities and differences between the two disorders, thereby providing a scientific foundation for the development of prevention, diagnosis, and treatment strategies. This study, based on GBD 2021 data, analyzed the incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) of ASD and ADHD globally from 1990 to 2021. The research employed age-standardized rates (ASR) to eliminate the influence of population age structure and explored the contributions of epidemiological changes, including population size, aging, as well as disease incidence, prevalence, mortality, and risk factors, to DALY through decomposition analysis. Additionally, the study performed an analysis of health inequalities, conducted a frontier analysis, and predicted future trends utilizing the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model. In 2021, the prevalence of ASD among the global population aged 0-14 years was 857.14 cases per 100,000 individuals (95% UI: 723.16-1009.04), while the prevalence of ADHD was 1,661.61 cases per 100,000 individuals (95% UI: 1,128.43-2,414.83). Within this age group, the DALY for ASD were 3,318,058 (95% UI: 2,248,324-4,668,010), compared to 410,705 (95% UI: 209,548-714,682) for ADHD. The DALY burden for ASD was higher than that for ADHD. These two disorders exhibit differences in gender and age distribution, with higher incidence rates and DALY values observed in males. Projections indicate that from 2021 to 2050, the DALY for both ASD and ADHD in the 0-14 age group are expected to show an upward trend.

1990 - 2021年204个国家和地区0-14岁年龄组自闭症谱系障碍和注意缺陷/多动障碍的疾病负担
本研究旨在利用全球疾病负担(GBD) 2021数据库的数据,系统分析0-14岁儿童自闭症谱系障碍(ASD)和注意缺陷多动障碍(ADHD)的疾病负担。通过研究其时间趋势、区域分布和人口统计学差异,本研究旨在阐明两种疾病之间的流行病学异同,从而为制定预防、诊断和治疗策略提供科学依据。本研究基于GBD 2021数据,分析了1990年至2021年全球ASD和ADHD的发病率、患病率和残疾调整生命年(DALY)。采用年龄标准化率(age- standardization rates, ASR)剔除人口年龄结构的影响,通过分解分析,探讨人口规模、老龄化、疾病发病率、患病率、死亡率、危险因素等流行病学变化对DALY的贡献。此外,该研究还对健康不平等现象进行了分析,进行了前沿分析,并利用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型预测了未来趋势。2021年,全球0-14岁人群中ASD患病率为每10万人857.14例(95% UI: 723.16-1009.04),而ADHD患病率为每10万人1661.61例(95% UI: 1128.43 - 2414.83)。在该年龄组中,ASD的DALY为3,318,058 (95% UI: 2,248,324-4,668,010),而ADHD的DALY为410,705 (95% UI: 209,548-714,682)。ASD的DALY负担高于ADHD。这两种疾病在性别和年龄分布上存在差异,男性的发病率和DALY值更高。预测表明,从2021年到2050年,0-14岁年龄组的ASD和ADHD的DALY预计将呈现上升趋势。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.50
自引率
3.40%
发文量
174
期刊介绍: Child Psychiatry & Human Development is an interdisciplinary international journal serving the groups represented by child and adolescent psychiatry, clinical child/pediatric/family psychology, pediatrics, social science, and human development. The journal publishes research on diagnosis, assessment, treatment, epidemiology, development, advocacy, training, cultural factors, ethics, policy, and professional issues as related to clinical disorders in children, adolescents, and families. The journal publishes peer-reviewed original empirical research in addition to substantive and theoretical reviews.
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