Long-Term Decline in Renal Allograft Function After Severe COVID-19 in Kidney Transplant Recipients: Evidence From a Four-Year Retrospective Cohort Study
{"title":"Long-Term Decline in Renal Allograft Function After Severe COVID-19 in Kidney Transplant Recipients: Evidence From a Four-Year Retrospective Cohort Study","authors":"Suzimar Silveira Rioja, Amanda Orlando Reis, Conrado Lysandro Rodrigues Gomes","doi":"10.1016/j.transproceed.2025.06.012","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div><span>While coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been extensively studied, long-term follow-up data in </span>kidney transplant<span><span> recipients (KTRs), particularly concerning the impact of severe COVID-19 on graft function, remain limited. This study provides critical evidence of sustained renal injury in KTRs with severe COVID-19, focusing on </span>acute kidney injury<span> (AKI) as a predictor of accelerated graft dysfunction over a 4-year follow-up period.</span></span></div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>We conducted a retrospective cohort study<span> of 43 KTRs hospitalized with COVID-19 in Brazil (April 2020 and July 2024). The survivors were followed up for a median of 2.5 years (range: 1.2–4.2 years). Longitudinal graft function was assessed using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) trajectories modeled with linear mixed-effects analysis.</span></div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div><span>The in-hospital mortality rate was 37.2%. AKI occurred in 65.1% of patients and was more frequent among nonsurvivors (87.5% vs 51.9%, </span><em>P</em><span> < .05). Of the 13 patients requiring kidney replacement therapy, only 2 survived. Among the 27 survivors, we observed a significant decline in eGFR from 47.99 to 40.57 mL/min/1.73 m² (</span><em>P</em> = .032) in the follow-up period, driven by a steeper annual decline in those with AKI (−6.99 mL/min/1.73 · m² per year vs stable eGFR in non-AKI patients, <em>P</em> = .049). By the final follow-up, AKI survivors had a significantly lower eGFR than non-AKI patients (12.58 vs 47.57 mL/min/1.73 m², <em>P</em> = .003).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Severe COVID-19 has a lasting impact on graft function in KTRs, particularly in those with AKI. These findings underscore the importance of long-term nephrological surveillance and individualized post-COVID-19 management strategies for slowing graft dysfunction progression in this high-risk population.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23246,"journal":{"name":"Transplantation proceedings","volume":"57 7","pages":"Pages 1271-1276"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transplantation proceedings","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0041134525003185","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"IMMUNOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
While coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been extensively studied, long-term follow-up data in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs), particularly concerning the impact of severe COVID-19 on graft function, remain limited. This study provides critical evidence of sustained renal injury in KTRs with severe COVID-19, focusing on acute kidney injury (AKI) as a predictor of accelerated graft dysfunction over a 4-year follow-up period.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 43 KTRs hospitalized with COVID-19 in Brazil (April 2020 and July 2024). The survivors were followed up for a median of 2.5 years (range: 1.2–4.2 years). Longitudinal graft function was assessed using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) trajectories modeled with linear mixed-effects analysis.
Results
The in-hospital mortality rate was 37.2%. AKI occurred in 65.1% of patients and was more frequent among nonsurvivors (87.5% vs 51.9%, P < .05). Of the 13 patients requiring kidney replacement therapy, only 2 survived. Among the 27 survivors, we observed a significant decline in eGFR from 47.99 to 40.57 mL/min/1.73 m² (P = .032) in the follow-up period, driven by a steeper annual decline in those with AKI (−6.99 mL/min/1.73 · m² per year vs stable eGFR in non-AKI patients, P = .049). By the final follow-up, AKI survivors had a significantly lower eGFR than non-AKI patients (12.58 vs 47.57 mL/min/1.73 m², P = .003).
Conclusion
Severe COVID-19 has a lasting impact on graft function in KTRs, particularly in those with AKI. These findings underscore the importance of long-term nephrological surveillance and individualized post-COVID-19 management strategies for slowing graft dysfunction progression in this high-risk population.
期刊介绍:
Transplantation Proceedings publishes several different categories of manuscripts, all of which undergo extensive peer review by recognized authorities in the field prior to their acceptance for publication.
The first type of manuscripts consists of sets of papers providing an in-depth expression of the current state of the art in various rapidly developing components of world transplantation biology and medicine. These manuscripts emanate from congresses of the affiliated transplantation societies, from Symposia sponsored by the Societies, as well as special Conferences and Workshops covering related topics.
Transplantation Proceedings also publishes several special sections including publication of Clinical Transplantation Proceedings, being rapid original contributions of preclinical and clinical experiences. These manuscripts undergo review by members of the Editorial Board.
Original basic or clinical science articles, clinical trials and case studies can be submitted to the journal?s open access companion title Transplantation Reports.