AI-assisted braintstorming for scenario thinking

IF 3 3区管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Futures Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2025.103644

Nicholas J. Rowland , David J. Grüning

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This article returns to Alex Faickney Osborn’s iconic 1953 book Applied Imagination in which the process of “brainstorming” was first introduced to academic audiences. In scenario thinking, the capacity to brainstorm is an essential, core component, even if few scholars and practitioners seem to return directly to Osborn’s original insights about the disciplined application of imagination. As the futures and foresight science community braces for the impending impact of artificial intelligence, we return readers to the fact that Osborn’s work, some 70 years ago, which championed human creativity, was written during the rise of the first “electronic brains” (i.e., computers) and all the potential implications of computing power for individuals in all realms of the thought industry. The purpose of this article, therefore, is to bring those AIs together in the context of scenario thinking; to recover seemingly lost insights from Osborn’s notion of Applied Imagination and consider what those insights mean for our contemporary context rife with the opportunities but also concerns of Artificial Intelligence.

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人工智能辅助的头脑风暴场景思维

这篇文章回到了Alex Faickney Osborn 1953年的标志性著作《应用想象力》（Applied Imagination），在这本书中，“头脑风暴”的过程首次被介绍给了学术读者。在情景思维中，头脑风暴的能力是必不可少的核心组成部分，即使很少有学者和实践者似乎直接回到奥斯本关于有纪律地运用想象力的原始见解。当未来和前瞻科学界为即将到来的人工智能影响做准备时，我们让读者回顾一下这样一个事实：大约70年前，奥斯本的作品倡导人类的创造力，这是在第一个“电子大脑”（即计算机）兴起期间完成的，以及计算能力对思想产业各个领域的个人的所有潜在影响。因此，本文的目的是将这些ai整合到情景思维的背景中；从奥斯本的“应用想象力”概念中恢复看似丢失的见解，并考虑这些见解对我们这个充满机遇但也令人担忧的人工智能的当代背景意味着什么。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Futures Multiple-

CiteScore

6.00

自引率

10.00%

发文量

124

期刊介绍： Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures