Discriminatory Performance of APACHE II Score and the Prediction of Mortality within the ICU in Patients with Sepsis Admitted to the ICU.

Ahmad Habeeb Dala Ali, Sabariah Noor Harun, Noordin Othman, Baharudin Ibrahim, Omer Elhag Abdulbagi, Ibrahim Abdullah, Indang Ariati Ariffin
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Abstract

Background: Severity of illness assessment tools are utilized to triage critically-ill patients and provide a valuable inputs to the healthcare provider to decide the type and intensity of treatment or interventions.

Objective: The aim of this study was to evaluate the discriminatory capabilities of Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score in the prediction of Intensive care units (ICUs) mortality among patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU.

Methods: Records of patients with sepsis admitted to ICUs were retrospectively reviewed. Discriminatory performance of APACHE II score was assessed by using the receiver operating characteristic's (ROC's) area under the curve (AUC).

Results: The mean±SD of APACHE II score was 27.1±8.4. APACHE II score demonstrated a very good discriminatory performance with an accuracy rate of 75% and an AUC-ROC 0.80 (95%CI: 0.74 - 0.85) at an optimal cutoff of 26. APACHE II score was found to be correlated with ICU mortality with a correlation coefficient of (0.52). ICU mortality was significantly higher in patients with APACHE II score ≥26.

Conclusion: This study revealed that the discriminatory performance of APACHE II score in predicting ICU mortality in patient with sepsis was very good. These findings can have potential clinical implications in the identification and management of patients with sepsis admitted to the ICU.

APACHE II评分的歧视性表现及对ICU脓毒症患者死亡率的预测
背景:疾病严重程度评估工具用于对危重患者进行分类,并为医疗保健提供者提供有价值的输入,以决定治疗或干预的类型和强度。目的:本研究的目的是评估急性生理和慢性健康评估II (APACHE II)评分在预测ICU脓毒症患者重症监护病房(ICU)死亡率方面的区别能力。方法:回顾性分析icu收治的脓毒症患者的记录。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)评价APACHE II评分的歧视性表现。结果:APACHEⅱ评分的平均值±SD为27.1±8.4。APACHE II评分显示出非常好的区分性能,准确率为75%,AUC-ROC为0.80 (95%CI: 0.74 - 0.85),最佳截止值为26。APACHEⅱ评分与ICU死亡率相关,相关系数为(0.52)。APACHE II评分≥26的患者ICU死亡率明显增高。结论:本研究显示APACHEⅱ评分在预测脓毒症ICU患者死亡率方面具有很好的歧视性。这些发现可能对ICU脓毒症患者的识别和管理具有潜在的临床意义。
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