A Flash Flood Numerical Modeling and Forecasting Tool in Mountainous Small Catchments Based on a 2-D Hydrodynamic Model

IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
Fulei Wang, Chaojun Ouyang, Huicong An, Xiaoqing Chen, Shu Zhou, Qingsong Xu
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Abstract

The forecasting and early warning of flash floods in mountainous areas are extremely challenging. Here, we establish an integrated model of Baseflow-Rainfall-Interception-Flood (BRIF) to support efficient numerical modeling and potential forecasting of flash flood in future. The local inertia approximation equations and the heterogeneous parallel computing scheme of CPU + GPU adopted in the BRIF model have realized a high performance and robustness solver, and the generability across frameworks has been completed with low cost and high efficiency. The findings suggest that the local inertia approximation equations remain a viable solution for simulating flash floods using heterogeneous parallel computing methods. For purpose of potential application in forecast and early warning, we develop a model that utilizes land-use types to determine the underlying surface parameters. The possibility risk of flash flood is proposed to be evaluated by comparing predicted discharge with the peak flow during the return period discharge curve. The efficiency of the BRIF model has been verified by comparing with the analytical solution and multiple real flash flood events. It is shown the speedup (the computational time verse the rainfall procedure) is several to tens of times in a high-resolution grid. Thus, the current BRIF model proposed has great potential for flash flood forecasting in future.

Abstract Image

基于二维水动力模型的山地小流域山洪数值模拟与预报工具
山区山洪的预报和预警工作极具挑战性。在此基础上,建立了基流-降雨-拦截-洪水(BRIF)综合模型,为未来山洪暴发的有效数值模拟和潜在预报提供支持。BRIF模型采用局部惯性近似方程和CPU + GPU异构并行计算方案,实现了高性能、鲁棒性强的求解器,并以低成本、高效率完成了跨框架的可泛化。研究结果表明,局部惯性近似方程仍然是使用异构并行计算方法模拟山洪暴发的可行解决方案。为了在预测和预警方面的潜在应用,我们开发了一个利用土地利用类型来确定下垫面参数的模型。提出了在回归期流量曲线上,通过预测流量与峰值流量的对比来评价山洪发生的可能性风险。通过与解析解和多次实际山洪事件的对比,验证了BRIF模型的有效性。结果表明,在高分辨率网格中,加速(计算时间相对于降雨过程)是几倍到几十倍。因此,目前提出的BRIF模型在未来的山洪预报中具有很大的潜力。
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来源期刊
Earth and Space Science
Earth and Space Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-General Earth and Planetary Sciences
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
3.20%
发文量
285
审稿时长
19 weeks
期刊介绍: Marking AGU’s second new open access journal in the last 12 months, Earth and Space Science is the only journal that reflects the expansive range of science represented by AGU’s 62,000 members, including all of the Earth, planetary, and space sciences, and related fields in environmental science, geoengineering, space engineering, and biogeochemistry.
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