E. Ortega González , R. Domínguez-Hernández , M. Martínez Roma , MD. Ocete-Mochon , A. Carrodeguas , JL. González-Sánchez , MA. Casado , M. García Deltoro
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Introduction
A late diagnosis of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) or hepatitis B virus (HBV) increases the chances of transmission and healthcare costs, as well as increases morbidity and the progression of the disease. The aim was to evaluate the impact of FOCUS-CRIVALVIR programme implementation on the transmission of these viruses and the costs in the Valencian Community (3,902,512 adults) compared with nonimplementation.
Methods
A decision tree was developed to estimate the number of individuals screened and their follow-up in healthcare, combined with a transmission model for each virus to evaluate infections and mortality avoided and costs of new infections and late diagnosis. The analysis was carried out in different at-risk populations. The population susceptible to infection, interactions between individuals and the risk of transmission among undiagnosed individuals, untreated and treated without a response are considered.
Results
With FOCUS-CRIVALVIR programme, 440,203 individuals would be screened; 1064-HIV, 1455-HCV and 1627-HBV infections would be diagnosed; and 1053, 1422 and 111 individuals would be treated, respectively. Compared with nonintervention, FOCUS-CRIVALVIR programme would avoid 464 new HIV, 524 new HCV and 169 new HBV infections within 20 years and reduce mortality. The programme would cost 6 million euros (€M) to implement but would save € 154 M (€ 152 M infections avoided and € 8 M late diagnosis less cost programme) vs nonintervention.
Conclusions
The implementation of the FOCUS-CRIVALVIR programme would enable early access to the diagnosis and treatment of HIV, HCV and HBV; reduce the transmission, mortality, and costs of new infections and late diagnosis; and add value to society and the healthcare system.
期刊介绍:
The journal emphasizes the application of epidemiologic methods to issues that affect the distribution and determinants of human illness in diverse contexts. Its primary focus is on chronic and acute conditions of diverse etiologies and of major importance to clinical medicine, public health, and health care delivery.