Evaluating the Potential of ChatGPT to Support Climate Risk and Adaptation Assessment

Robert L. Wilby
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Abstract

Adaptation to climate change is increasingly urgent, as efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions falter. Scaling up adaptation finance is essential to address climate risks, but no adaptation inventory covers all sectors and regions globally, especially for vulnerable, information-scarce communities. Large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT could help bridge these gaps through rapid scoping of climate risks, adaptation options, programme costs and potential maladaptation. This paper uses structured conversations with ChatGPT to explore adaptations to climate hazards in the United Kingdom (for a national perspective), Bangladesh (for an education sector) and Ghana (for vulnerable communities). Queries were run multiple times to test consistency of outputs and contextual awareness. Early results are promising when compared with published information and expert insight. Nonetheless, practical steps can be taken for more effective use of LLMs, and these are captured in a checklist for users. Further research is needed to compare ChatGPT with other LLMs in giving reliable, domain-specific information about climate risks and priority adaptations.

Abstract Image

评估ChatGPT支持气候风险和适应评估的潜力
随着遏制温室气体排放的努力步履蹒跚,适应气候变化变得越来越紧迫。扩大适应融资对于应对气候风险至关重要,但没有一份适应清单涵盖全球所有部门和地区,尤其是脆弱、信息匮乏的社区。像ChatGPT这样的大型语言模型(llm)可以通过快速确定气候风险、适应方案、项目成本和潜在的适应不良来帮助弥合这些差距。本文通过与ChatGPT的结构化对话,探讨了英国(从国家角度)、孟加拉国(从教育部门角度)和加纳(从脆弱社区角度)对气候灾害的适应情况。查询运行多次,以测试输出的一致性和上下文感知。与已发表的信息和专家的见解相比,早期的结果是有希望的。尽管如此,可以采取实际步骤来更有效地使用llm,这些步骤在用户的检查表中被捕获。需要进一步的研究来比较ChatGPT与其他法学硕士在提供关于气候风险和优先适应的可靠的、特定领域的信息方面的差异。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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