A Combination Model of Periodic and Non-periodic Events for Temporal Knowledge Graph Event Prediction

Abstract

Temporal knowledge graph (TKG) reasoning aims to predict missing facts or future events at given timestamps and has attracted more and more attention in recent years. Existing TKG reasoning methods mainly focus on the interactions between entities and ignore the associations between events where the entities involve. In addition, the characteristics of different types of events have not been studied and exploited, which reduces the performance of event prediction. To address these problems, this paper proposes a combination model of periodic and non-periodic events (CM-PNP). Specifically, there are two basic components designed to process different types of events. The periodic component of CM-PNP learns the recurrent pattern of periodic events and encodes the temporal information in the manner of timespan to prevent the unseen timestamp issue. The non-periodic component of CM-PNP introduces extra information (e.g., entity attributes) to represent non-periodic events, and predicts this type of events according to the related historical events. A combination model of multiple sub-models that focus on encoding different parts of the event is used to improve the performance of single model. The periodic and non-periodic components are combined by a gate block. The experimental results on three real-world datasets demonstrate that CM-PNP outperforms the existing baselines.