Bilal Turan, Ahmet Necati Sanli, Deniz Esin Tekcan Sanli, Serdar Acar
{"title":"Prognostic impact and independent significance of tumor deposits in early-stage colon cancer: a population-based cohort study.","authors":"Bilal Turan, Ahmet Necati Sanli, Deniz Esin Tekcan Sanli, Serdar Acar","doi":"10.1007/s00384-025-04908-8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Tumor deposits (TD) are well-established prognostic markers in advanced-stage colorectal cancer (CRC), but their independent significance in early-stage disease remains unclear. Current staging systems do not account for TD in node-negative CRC, despite emerging evidence suggesting a potential impact on survival. This study aimed to assess the prognostic impact of TD in early-stage (T1-T3, N0) colon cancer using a large population-based cohort and advanced statistical methods.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the SEER database (2010-2021), including 111,106 patients with early-stage (T1-T3) colon cancer, of whom 4055 (3.6%) were TD-positive. To minimize baseline imbalances, propensity score matching (1:3 nearest-neighbor; caliper = 0.2) was applied. Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis and compared with log-rank tests. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to evaluate the independent prognostic impact of TD status in both unmatched and matched cohorts.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>TD-positive patients demonstrated significantly worse overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) compared to TD-negative patients (log-rank p < 0.001). In the unmatched cohort, TD positivity was independently associated with reduced OS (HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.48-1.65) and DSS (HR: 2.33, 95% CI: 2.14-2.54; both p < 0.001). These associations remained significant after propensity score matching (OS: HR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.35-1.54; DSS: HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.97-2.40; both p < 0.001).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>TD is an independent prognostic factor in early-stage colon cancer, warranting closer surveillance and reconsideration of treatment strategies. These findings suggest that TD should be integrated into risk stratification models, challenging current staging paradigms.</p>","PeriodicalId":13789,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Colorectal Disease","volume":"40 1","pages":"146"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12198330/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Colorectal Disease","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00384-025-04908-8","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Tumor deposits (TD) are well-established prognostic markers in advanced-stage colorectal cancer (CRC), but their independent significance in early-stage disease remains unclear. Current staging systems do not account for TD in node-negative CRC, despite emerging evidence suggesting a potential impact on survival. This study aimed to assess the prognostic impact of TD in early-stage (T1-T3, N0) colon cancer using a large population-based cohort and advanced statistical methods.
Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the SEER database (2010-2021), including 111,106 patients with early-stage (T1-T3) colon cancer, of whom 4055 (3.6%) were TD-positive. To minimize baseline imbalances, propensity score matching (1:3 nearest-neighbor; caliper = 0.2) was applied. Overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis and compared with log-rank tests. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to evaluate the independent prognostic impact of TD status in both unmatched and matched cohorts.
Results: TD-positive patients demonstrated significantly worse overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) compared to TD-negative patients (log-rank p < 0.001). In the unmatched cohort, TD positivity was independently associated with reduced OS (HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 1.48-1.65) and DSS (HR: 2.33, 95% CI: 2.14-2.54; both p < 0.001). These associations remained significant after propensity score matching (OS: HR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.35-1.54; DSS: HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.97-2.40; both p < 0.001).
Conclusion: TD is an independent prognostic factor in early-stage colon cancer, warranting closer surveillance and reconsideration of treatment strategies. These findings suggest that TD should be integrated into risk stratification models, challenging current staging paradigms.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Colorectal Disease, Clinical and Molecular Gastroenterology and Surgery aims to publish novel and state-of-the-art papers which deal with the physiology and pathophysiology of diseases involving the entire gastrointestinal tract. In addition to original research articles, the following categories will be included: reviews (usually commissioned but may also be submitted), case reports, letters to the editor, and protocols on clinical studies.
The journal offers its readers an interdisciplinary forum for clinical science and molecular research related to gastrointestinal disease.