Transition Processes in Technological Systems: Inspiration from Processes in Biological Evolution.

Abstract

With environmental challenges intensifying, a fundamental understanding and sustainable management of ongoing transition processes are crucial. Biological evolution provides valuable lessons on how to adapt and thrive under changing conditions. By studying its key principles, we identified analogies between biological evolution and technological transitions in terms of both the Multi-Level Perceptive and the path dependency model. The comparative study also revealed that, despite contrasting time scales, the generation-based and version-based developments are comparable. In addition, interesting similarities were found in the increase and decrease of variety and between fitness and consistency. The lessons learned from biology include "Give it a try", "Do not close for reconstruction", and "Keep older versions in the innovation process". Based on this comparison, we aim to gain insights for a better understanding of how to manage technology transitions and to derive concrete indicators for assessing and monitoring them. In doing so, we can provide action-oriented guidance for developing more sustainable technological solutions for major ongoing transitions, such as the energy transition.