National Leadership and State Capacity

IF 1.5 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Politics & Policy Pub Date : 2025-06-26 DOI:10.1111/polp.70045

Ali Fisunoglu

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

State capacity and national leadership are central to governance, economic development, and stability. However, little research systematically investigates what drives changes in state capacity and evaluates leadership performance. This article examines the impact of leadership changes and shifts in the source of leader support on state capacity. Utilizing data from 1045 leaders across 159 countries from 1960 to 2015, and a subset of 60 leaders who died in office unexpectedly, the study employs fixed effects models and Difference-in-Differences (DiD) analyses. Findings reveal that leadership changes and shifts in support significantly impact state capacity, moderated by institutional constraints and veto players. This study underscores the importance of leadership and institutional dynamics in shaping governance and policymaking, providing empirical evidence on the conditions under which leadership matters. The results highlight how both leadership transitions and institutional settings shape state capacity, with political institutions constraining leaders, reducing volatility, and preventing extreme fluctuations.

Ike, V. 2020. “The Impact of Veto Players on Incremental and Drastic Policy Making: Australia's Carbon Tax Policy and Its Repeal.” Politics & Policy 48 no. 2: 232–264. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12346.

Dahill-Brown, S. E., and L. Lavery. 2012. “Implementing Federal Policy: Confronting State Capacity and Will.” Politics & Policy 40 no. 4: 557–592. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2012.00368.x.

Kostadinova, T., and B. Levitt. 2014. “Introduction to the Symposium: New Research on Personalist Leadership.” Politics & Policy 42 no. 4: 483–489. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12083.

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国家领导和国家能力

国家能力和国家领导对治理、经济发展和稳定至关重要。然而，很少有研究系统地调查是什么驱动了国家能力的变化，并评估了领导的表现。本文考察了领导更替和领导支持来源的转变对国家能力的影响。该研究利用了1960年至2015年159个国家1045位领导人的数据，以及60位在职期间意外去世的领导人的数据，采用了固定效应模型和差异中差异（DiD）分析。研究结果显示，领导层的变化和支持的转变显著影响国家能力，并受到制度约束和否决权参与者的调节。本研究强调了领导力和制度动态在塑造治理和政策制定方面的重要性，为领导力发挥作用的条件提供了经验证据。研究结果强调了领导层换届和制度设置如何塑造国家能力，政治制度约束领导人，减少波动性，防止极端波动。相关文章艾克，V. 2020。“否决权参与者对增量和激烈政策制定的影响：澳大利亚的碳税政策及其废除。”政治,政策48号2: 232 - 264。https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12346。达希尔-布朗，s.e.和l.l Lavery, 2012。“执行联邦政策：对抗州政府的能力和意愿。”政治,政策40号4: 557 - 592。https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2012.00368.x。Kostadinova， T.和B. Levitt. 2014。研讨会导言：个人主义领导的新研究政治,政策42号4: 483 - 489。https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12083。

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来源期刊

Politics & Policy POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

2.50

自引率

23.10%

发文量