An in-depth analysis of residential E-cooling demand in The Netherlands

IF 6.4 2区工程技术 Q1 THERMODYNAMICS

Case Studies in Thermal Engineering Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI:10.1016/j.csite.2025.106469

Jim de Wind , Joel Alpízar-Castillo , Julian Visser , Laura Ramírez-Elizondo

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Abstract

The magnitude and effect of residential E-cooling demand on the Dutch energy market have not been studied in the literature. However, due to rising temperatures and the increase in the adoption of heat pumps, the effects of residential e-cooling demand are expected to rise sharply in the upcoming decades. First, a thermodynamic model of different Dutch residential buildings described the magnitude and patterns of residential E-cooling. Second, the effects of E-cooling on the distribution network were tested using the IEEE 906-bus European LV network. Third, a country-wide simulation of the effect of residential E-cooling on the energy market was done in Plexos© from 2025 to 2050. The results showed a doubling of the cooling demand between 2025 and 2030 and a maximum annual cooling demand of approximately 0.4 TWh. In addition, it was shown how the demand for residential cooling could decrease local power quality when more than 40 % of households actively cool their houses simultaneously, increasing network costs. Finally, it was also proven how power prices could increase due to higher demand and how revenue for specific generation components could double or decrease by 20% during heat waves when accounting for residential E-cooling demand.

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荷兰住宅电子制冷需求的深入分析

荷兰能源市场上住宅电子冷却需求的规模和影响尚未在文献中进行研究。然而，由于气温上升和热泵采用的增加，住宅电子制冷需求的影响预计将在未来几十年急剧上升。首先，不同荷兰住宅建筑的热力学模型描述了住宅电子冷却的大小和模式。其次，采用IEEE 906总线欧洲低压电网测试了E-cooling对配电网的影响。第三，从2025年到2050年，在Plexos©中进行了全国范围内住宅电子制冷对能源市场影响的模拟。结果表明，2025年至2030年间，制冷需求将翻一番，年最大制冷需求约为0.4太瓦时。此外，研究还表明，当超过40%的家庭同时主动为自己的房屋降温时，住宅制冷需求可能会降低当地的电力质量，从而增加网络成本。最后，还证明了电力价格如何因需求增加而增加，以及当考虑到住宅电子冷却需求时，特定发电组件的收入如何在热浪期间翻倍或减少20%。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Case Studies in Thermal Engineering Chemical Engineering-Fluid Flow and Transfer Processes

CiteScore

8.60

自引率

11.80%

发文量

812

审稿时长

76 days

期刊介绍： Case Studies in Thermal Engineering provides a forum for the rapid publication of short, structured Case Studies in Thermal Engineering and related Short Communications. It provides an essential compendium of case studies for researchers and practitioners in the field of thermal engineering and others who are interested in aspects of thermal engineering cases that could affect other engineering processes. The journal not only publishes new and novel case studies, but also provides a forum for the publication of high quality descriptions of classic thermal engineering problems. The scope of the journal includes case studies of thermal engineering problems in components, devices and systems using existing experimental and numerical techniques in the areas of mechanical, aerospace, chemical, medical, thermal management for electronics, heat exchangers, regeneration, solar thermal energy, thermal storage, building energy conservation, and power generation. Case studies of thermal problems in other areas will also be considered.