Strategic evaluation of rural-to-urban migration trends and policies in Türkiye

IF 4.9 2区社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Sustainable Futures Pub Date : 2025-06-15 DOI:10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100875

Sukran Seker , Ertugrul Ayyildiz , Nezir Aydin

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Rural-urban migration refers to the movement of people from rural to urban areas. This study strategically evaluates rural-to-urban migration trends and policies in Türkiye using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) methods under Fermatean fuzzy logic. The main and sub-factors influencing rural-to-urban are identified and structured under the PESTELT (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental, Legal, and Transportation) framework. It identifies key drivers of rural-to-urban migration, such as employment opportunities and educational access, rather than solely focusing on the cost of living. The goal is to develop strategies that encourage reverse migration back to rural areas. Using integrated Fermatean Fuzzy-Analytical Hierarchy Process (FF-AHP) and Fermatean Fuzzy-Evaluation based on Distance from Average Solution (FF-EDAS) methods, the study prioritizes strategies like regional employment investments and promoting village industries to strengthen rural settlement. Findings offer policy insights to balance urban-rural population distribution sustainably.

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中国农村向城市迁移趋势和政策的战略评价

城乡人口流动是指人口从农村向城市的流动。本研究采用Fermatean模糊逻辑下的多准则决策（MCDM）方法，对中国农村向城市迁移的趋势和政策进行了战略性评价。在PESTELT（政治、经济、社会、技术、环境、法律和交通）框架下，确定并构建了影响农村到城市的主要和次要因素。它确定了农村向城市迁移的关键驱动因素，如就业机会和教育机会，而不是仅仅关注生活成本。目标是制定战略，鼓励人口向农村地区回流。综合运用Fermatean模糊层次分析法（FF-AHP）和基于平均解距离的Fermatean模糊评价法（FF-EDAS），研究了区域就业投资和促进乡村产业发展等加强乡村聚落的优先级策略。研究结果为可持续平衡城乡人口分布提供了政策启示。

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来源期刊

Sustainable Futures Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

9.30

自引率

1.80%

发文量

审稿时长

71 days

期刊介绍： Sustainable Futures: is a journal focused on the intersection of sustainability, environment and technology from various disciplines in social sciences, and their larger implications for corporation, government, education institutions, regions and society both at present and in the future. It provides an advanced platform for studies related to sustainability and sustainable development in society, economics, environment, and culture. The scope of the journal is broad and encourages interdisciplinary research, as well as welcoming theoretical and practical research from all methodological approaches.