Electric or gasoline vehicle? Determinants of vehicle ownership in 247 Chinese cities

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2025-06-21 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2025.104885

Xinwei Ma , Yuwei Wang , Mingjia He , Xiaopeng Guo , Yiming Fan , Xia Li

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Climatic conditions, built environment and economic development across cities can influence the proportion of electric vehicle (EV) ownership. However, a comprehensive understanding of spatial differentiation of EV ownership and gasoline vehicle (GV) ownership across multiple cities remains limited. This study examines the spatial differentiation of EV ownership and GV ownership across 247 Chinese cities using geographically weighted regression (GWR) models to analyze its associations with weather, geographic, built environment, and urban development factors. Results show that minimum monthly average temperature has a stronger positive impact on EV ownership in northern and western cities, while its impact on GV ownership is more pronounced in eastern cities. The relief degree of the land surface is negatively associated with EV ownership in northwest cities. Furthermore, the level of PM2.5 pollution and education level demonstrate strong positive influences on EV ownership. These findings provide insights for promoting EV adoption to achieve sustainable development goals.

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电动还是汽油车？247个中国城市机动车拥有量的决定因素

城市的气候条件、建筑环境和经济发展都会影响电动汽车的拥有率。然而，对多个城市电动汽车和汽油车（GV）保有量的空间差异的全面了解仍然有限。本文采用地理加权回归（GWR）模型对247个中国城市电动汽车和轻型汽车保有量的空间分异进行了研究，分析了其与天气、地理、建筑环境和城市发展等因素的关系。结果表明，最低月平均气温对北部和西部城市电动汽车保有量的正向影响更强，而对东部城市轻型汽车保有量的正向影响更为明显。西北城市地表起伏程度与电动汽车保有量呈负相关。此外，PM2.5污染水平和受教育程度对电动汽车保有量有较强的正向影响。这些研究结果为促进电动汽车的采用以实现可持续发展目标提供了见解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.