Ahmad Shah Irshad , Ahmad Bilal Ahmadullah , Kamaluddin Kamal , Naqibullah Haidari , Ahmadullah Qanit , Javeed Ahmad Osmani , Said Elias
{"title":"Optimization of coal sustainability via hybrid renewable integration: A PVsyst-HOMER Synergistic framework for sustainable energy transitions","authors":"Ahmad Shah Irshad , Ahmad Bilal Ahmadullah , Kamaluddin Kamal , Naqibullah Haidari , Ahmadullah Qanit , Javeed Ahmad Osmani , Said Elias","doi":"10.1016/j.ecmx.2025.101110","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The growing urgency to decarbonize power systems while maintaining grid reliability has made hybrid energy systems an increasingly attractive solution, especially for coal-dependent regions. This study presents a novel hybrid energy optimization framework that integrates photovoltaic (PV), hydropower, and coal-based generation to enable a cost-effective and reliable power supply while facilitating a gradual transition toward low-carbon energy systems. Unlike conventional models that aim for immediate fossil fuel phase-out, this study proposes a pragmatic bridge model that utilizes existing coal infrastructure as dispatchable backup, enhancing grid stability without compromising sustainability goals. The methodology involves technical and economic modelling using HOMER Pro for hybrid system optimization and PVsyst for accurate PV performance analysis. Multiple constraints, including net present cost (NPC), cost of electricity (COE), reserve margin (≥15 %), CO<sub>2</sub> emissions threshold (≤30 % above baseline), and annual unmet load (≤0.5 %) are considered. A detailed sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate system robustness under varying solar irradiance and demand conditions. Results show that the optimized hybrid system (120 MW PV, 111 MW coal, 151 MW hydro) achieves the lowest COE ($0.0547/kWh) and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions (83,115,000 kg/year) with minimal unmet load (0.03 %). Environmental aspects are considered through explicit modelling of CO<sub>2</sub>, SO<sub>2</sub>, and NO<sub>x</sub> emissions, as well as scenario-based carbon taxation. A high system performance ratio of 81.3 % and a capacity factor of 68.8 %, confirming the system’s technical and economic viability. The findings underscore the importance of flexible, region-specific energy strategies and provide a replicable methodology for investors, utilities, and governments seeking to balance energy security, environmental impact, and economic growth on the path toward carbon–neutral power systems. This research offers a versatile and globally applicable approach that can guide researchers in developing hybrid systems tailored to different geographic, climatic, and economic contexts, supporting worldwide efforts in sustainable energy transitions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":37131,"journal":{"name":"Energy Conversion and Management-X","volume":"27 ","pages":"Article 101110"},"PeriodicalIF":7.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Conversion and Management-X","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590174525002429","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The growing urgency to decarbonize power systems while maintaining grid reliability has made hybrid energy systems an increasingly attractive solution, especially for coal-dependent regions. This study presents a novel hybrid energy optimization framework that integrates photovoltaic (PV), hydropower, and coal-based generation to enable a cost-effective and reliable power supply while facilitating a gradual transition toward low-carbon energy systems. Unlike conventional models that aim for immediate fossil fuel phase-out, this study proposes a pragmatic bridge model that utilizes existing coal infrastructure as dispatchable backup, enhancing grid stability without compromising sustainability goals. The methodology involves technical and economic modelling using HOMER Pro for hybrid system optimization and PVsyst for accurate PV performance analysis. Multiple constraints, including net present cost (NPC), cost of electricity (COE), reserve margin (≥15 %), CO2 emissions threshold (≤30 % above baseline), and annual unmet load (≤0.5 %) are considered. A detailed sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate system robustness under varying solar irradiance and demand conditions. Results show that the optimized hybrid system (120 MW PV, 111 MW coal, 151 MW hydro) achieves the lowest COE ($0.0547/kWh) and CO2 emissions (83,115,000 kg/year) with minimal unmet load (0.03 %). Environmental aspects are considered through explicit modelling of CO2, SO2, and NOx emissions, as well as scenario-based carbon taxation. A high system performance ratio of 81.3 % and a capacity factor of 68.8 %, confirming the system’s technical and economic viability. The findings underscore the importance of flexible, region-specific energy strategies and provide a replicable methodology for investors, utilities, and governments seeking to balance energy security, environmental impact, and economic growth on the path toward carbon–neutral power systems. This research offers a versatile and globally applicable approach that can guide researchers in developing hybrid systems tailored to different geographic, climatic, and economic contexts, supporting worldwide efforts in sustainable energy transitions.
期刊介绍:
Energy Conversion and Management: X is the open access extension of the reputable journal Energy Conversion and Management, serving as a platform for interdisciplinary research on a wide array of critical energy subjects. The journal is dedicated to publishing original contributions and in-depth technical review articles that present groundbreaking research on topics spanning energy generation, utilization, conversion, storage, transmission, conservation, management, and sustainability.
The scope of Energy Conversion and Management: X encompasses various forms of energy, including mechanical, thermal, nuclear, chemical, electromagnetic, magnetic, and electric energy. It addresses all known energy resources, highlighting both conventional sources like fossil fuels and nuclear power, as well as renewable resources such as solar, biomass, hydro, wind, geothermal, and ocean energy.