A decision support system for prioritizing electric vehicles transition policies

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2025-06-21 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2025.104880

Mouhamed Bayane Bouraima , Jakub Więckowski , Su Qian

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Abstract

In sub-Saharan Africa, a developing region, the shift towards electric vehicles’ transition is unfolding among unique challenges. This study aims not only to assess the main challenges affecting this transition, but also to prioritize alternative policies to overcome them through an integrated decision support system. Through a questionnaire distributed to twelve experts, we have conducted a strength weakness opportunity threat factors analysis, determined the weight of these factors, handled uncertainty in experts’ opinions, consolidated the ranking of alternatives to reach a consensus, and checked the consistency and reliability of our decision support system. The “opportunities” criteria are the main drivers of this transition, while limited grid supply and underdeveloped infrastructure sub-criteria constitute main challenges. Global collaboration is preferred policy for adoption. Our study provides important insights into the electric vehicle’s adoption and its impact on sustainable transport in the region.

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电动汽车转型政策优先化决策支持系统

在撒哈拉以南非洲这个发展中地区，向电动汽车的转型正面临着独特的挑战。本研究不仅旨在评估影响这一转变的主要挑战，而且还通过综合决策支持系统优先考虑替代政策以克服这些挑战。通过向12位专家发放问卷，我们进行了优势劣势机会威胁因素分析，确定了这些因素的权重，处理了专家意见中的不确定性，巩固了备选方案的排序，以达成共识，并检查了我们的决策支持系统的一致性和可靠性。“机遇”标准是这一转型的主要驱动因素，而有限的电网供应和不发达的基础设施子标准则构成了主要挑战。全球协作是首选的采用策略。我们的研究为电动汽车的采用及其对该地区可持续交通的影响提供了重要的见解。

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.