A Decadal Decrease in May Precipitation Over Yunnan, China After 2009 and Its Associated Atmospheric Circulation

IF 3.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Ji Ma, Ruowen Yang, Wen Chen, Peng Hu, Shu Gui, Zizhen Dong, Yuchi Zhang
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Abstract

In this study, the authors identify a decadal decrease in May precipitation over Yunnan, China, after 2009. Based on observed data from meteorological stations, the area-average precipitation in May over Yunnan has decreased from 135 mm during the period 1999–2008 to 83 mm during the period 2009–2019. The decline in precipitation is particularly pronounced in the southwestern and central regions of Yunnan, where it exceeds 100 mm. The moisture budget analysis indicates that the dynamical component of the vertical moisture advection, which is generated by the anomalous descending motion, is the largest contributor to the precipitation decrease after 2009 over Yunnan, followed by the thermodynamic component of the horizontal moisture advection. Further analysis suggests that the regional descending motion and low-level divergence may be attributable to the combined influence of Eurasian wave trains associated with the anomalous North Atlantic SST pattern and warm SST anomalies in the tropical western Indian Ocean (TWIO). On the one hand, the subtropical branch of the Eurasian wave train induces upper-level convergence anomalies over the upper Lancang–Mekong basin, which facilitates the local descending motion and low-level divergent circulation. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean has experienced a remarkable warming around 2009, particularly over the tropical western Indian Ocean. As a result, an anomalous vertical circulation is observed, with ascending motion over the TWIO and descending motion over Yunnan and neighbouring regions. These findings may provide further insight into the dynamic processes behind the observed precipitation decrease and the occurrence of frequent droughts over Yunnan in recent years.

2009年以后云南5月降水的年代际减少及其相关大气环流
在这项研究中,作者确定了2009年后中国云南5月降水的年代际减少。根据气象站观测资料,云南5月面积平均降水量由1999-2008年的135 mm减少到2009-2019年的83 mm。云南西南部和中部地区降水减少尤为明显,超过100毫米。水汽收支分析表明,由异常下降运动产生的垂直水汽平流动力分量对云南2009年以后降水减少贡献最大,其次是水平水汽平流热力分量。进一步分析表明,区域下降运动和低空辐散可能是与北大西洋海温异常型相关的欧亚波列和热带西印度洋(two)温暖海温异常共同影响的结果。一方面,欧亚波列的副热带分支在澜沧江-湄公河上游引起上层辐合异常,有利于局地下降运动和低层辐散环流;另一方面,印度洋在2009年前后经历了一次显著的变暖,尤其是热带西印度洋。因此,观测到一个异常的垂直环流,在TWIO上空有上升运动,在云南及其邻近地区有下降运动。这些发现可能为进一步了解近年来云南降水减少和干旱频发背后的动力过程提供依据。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Climatology
International Journal of Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
417
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions
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