Epidemiological Trends of Pressure Injuries at the Global, Regional, and National Levels: A Trend Analysis Study from 1990 to 2021.

IF 5.8 3区 医学 Q1 DERMATOLOGY
Hao Yang, Yuxi Zhou, Honglin Wu, Yongfei Chen, Xiaohui Li, Peng Wang, Jiayuan Zhu, Zhicheng Hu, Shuting Li
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Abstract

Objective: To evaluate global, regional, and national trends in the prevalence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of pressure injuries (PIs) from 1990 to 2021 and project future trends to 2035, based on data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. Approach: This study used GBD 2021 data to analyze PIs prevalence and DALYs by age, sex, and Sociodemographic Index (SDI) region. The Bayesian age-period-cohort model was employed for temporal trend analysis and future projections. Results: From 1990 to 2021, the global prevalence slightly decreased from 8.246 to 7.920 per 100,000 (estimated annual percentage change -0.023%), whereas DALYs decreased by 9.7%. High-SDI regions presented significant DALY reductions (-39.3%), whereas middle- and low-middle-SDI regions presented increased prevalence rates (20.5% and 28.9%, respectively). The prevalence was highest in the ageing population, peaking in the 95+ year age group. Projections estimate that there will be 720,660 global cases by 2035, with the greatest burden expected among older adults in developing regions. Innovation: This study provides a comprehensive longitudinal analysis of PIs, revealing global disparities and emphasizing demographic-specific risks, especially in ageing populations and low-SDI regions. Bayesian modeling offered robust future projections. Conclusion: Despite modest improvements globally, significant disparities in the prevalence of PIs persist, particularly in developing regions and among older adults. Targeted interventions, preventive strategies, and health care policies are critical for addressing these challenges and mitigating future disease burdens.

全球、区域和国家层面压力伤害的流行病学趋势:1990年至2021年的趋势分析研究
目的:根据全球疾病负担(GBD)研究的数据,评估1990年至2021年全球、区域和国家压力性损伤(pi)患病率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)的趋势,并预测到2035年的未来趋势。方法:本研究使用GBD 2021数据,按年龄、性别和社会人口指数(SDI)区域分析pi患病率和DALYs。采用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列模型进行时间趋势分析和未来预测。结果:从1990年到2021年,全球患病率从8.246 / 10万轻微下降到7.920 / 10万(估计年百分比变化-0.023%),而DALYs下降了9.7%。高sdi地区的DALY显著降低(-39.3%),而中等和低中等sdi地区的患病率增加(分别为20.5%和28.9%)。老年人群患病率最高,95岁以上年龄组患病率最高。预测估计,到2035年全球将有720660例病例,预计发展中地区的老年人负担最重。创新:本研究对pi进行了全面的纵向分析,揭示了全球差异,并强调了人口特定风险,特别是在人口老龄化和低sdi地区。贝叶斯模型提供了可靠的未来预测。结论:尽管全球范围内有所改善,但PIs患病率存在显著差异,特别是在发展中地区和老年人中。有针对性的干预措施、预防战略和卫生保健政策对于应对这些挑战和减轻未来的疾病负担至关重要。
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来源期刊
Advances in wound care
Advances in wound care Medicine-Emergency Medicine
CiteScore
12.10
自引率
4.10%
发文量
62
期刊介绍: Advances in Wound Care rapidly shares research from bench to bedside, with wound care applications for burns, major trauma, blast injuries, surgery, and diabetic ulcers. The Journal provides a critical, peer-reviewed forum for the field of tissue injury and repair, with an emphasis on acute and chronic wounds. Advances in Wound Care explores novel research approaches and practices to deliver the latest scientific discoveries and developments. Advances in Wound Care coverage includes: Skin bioengineering, Skin and tissue regeneration, Acute, chronic, and complex wounds, Dressings, Anti-scar strategies, Inflammation, Burns and healing, Biofilm, Oxygen and angiogenesis, Critical limb ischemia, Military wound care, New devices and technologies.
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