Expanding barriers: Impassable gaps interior to distribution of an isolated mountain-dwelling species

Abstract

Global change is expected to expand and shrink species' distributions in complex ways beyond just retraction at warm edges and expansion at cool ones. Detecting these changes is complicated by the need for robust baseline data for comparison. For instance, gaps in species' distributions may reflect long-standing patterns, recent shifts, or merely insufficient sampling effort. We investigated an apparent gap in the distribution of the American pika, Ochotona princeps, along the North American Sierra Nevada. Historical records from this region are sparse, with ~100 km separating previously documented pika-occupied sites. Surveys during 2014–2023 confirmed that the gap is currently unoccupied by pikas, and evidence of past occurrence indicates that the gap has expanded over time, likely due to contemporary global change. Sites lacking evidence of past pika occurrence were climatically and geographically more distant from sites with signs of recent (former) occurrence and currently occupied sites. Formerly and currently occupied sites were partially climatically distinct, suggesting either metapopulation-like dynamics or an extinction debt that may eventually result in further population losses at the edge of suitable climate space. The Feather River gap aligns with one of several “low points” in the otherwise continuous boreal-like conditions spanning the Cascade Range and Sierra Nevada and is coincident with discontinuities in ranges of other mammals. These results highlight the potential for climate-driven fragmentation and range retraction in regions considered climatically and geographically interior to a species' overall distribution.