{"title":"Size matters: Measuring the effects of inequality and growth shocks","authors":"Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay , Rui Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102429","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding the relationship between income inequality and economic growth is of utmost importance to social scientists, but the empirical evidence is inconclusive. We use a Bayesian structural vector autoregression approach to estimate the relationship between inequality and growth for two large economies, China and the USA, from 1978 to 2018. We find that a growth shock is inequality-increasing, and an inequality shock is growth-reducing. However, the size of the effects of these shocks is extremely small, accounting for under 2% of the variance for both countries, suggesting other important socio-economic determinants of growth and inequality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48285,"journal":{"name":"中国经济评论","volume":"93 ","pages":"Article 102429"},"PeriodicalIF":5.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"中国经济评论","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043951X25000872","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Understanding the relationship between income inequality and economic growth is of utmost importance to social scientists, but the empirical evidence is inconclusive. We use a Bayesian structural vector autoregression approach to estimate the relationship between inequality and growth for two large economies, China and the USA, from 1978 to 2018. We find that a growth shock is inequality-increasing, and an inequality shock is growth-reducing. However, the size of the effects of these shocks is extremely small, accounting for under 2% of the variance for both countries, suggesting other important socio-economic determinants of growth and inequality.
期刊介绍:
The China Economic Review publishes original works of scholarship which add to the knowledge of the economy of China and to economies as a discipline. We seek, in particular, papers dealing with policy, performance and institutional change. Empirical papers normally use a formal model, a data set, and standard statistical techniques. Submissions are subjected to double-blind peer review.