Foreign debt and economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: A new look

IF 3.3 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Rotimi Ayoade Ogunjumo
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The study investigates the separate effect of short-term foreign debt, long-term foreign debt, and International Monetary Fund credit (IMF credit hereafter) on economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA henceforth), which have been overlooked in the literature. By engaging the panel quantile regression with fixed effects, and the Driscoll and Kraay standard errors technique to ascertain the robustness of results, we found that the effect of short-term foreign debt on economic growth in SSA is insignificant. We also found that long-term foreign debt in SSA exerted significant negative effect on economic growth. We then uncovered a positive and significant effect of IMF credit on economic growth in the region. The study therefore recommends that governments in SSA nations should consider reducing the portion of short-term and long-term foreign debts in the composition of foreign debt in favour of IMF credit; otherwise, economic growth might slow down and the United Nation’s sustainable development goals may be endangered in the region.
撒哈拉以南非洲的外债与经济增长:新视角
本研究分别考察了短期外债、长期外债和国际货币基金组织信贷(以下简称IMF信贷)对撒哈拉以南非洲(以下简称SSA)经济增长的影响,这在文献中一直被忽视。通过使用固定效应的面板分位数回归,以及Driscoll和Kraay标准误差技术来确定结果的稳健性,我们发现短期外债对SSA经济增长的影响不显著。研究还发现,长期外债对经济增长具有显著的负向影响。然后,我们发现了IMF信贷对该地区经济增长的积极和显著影响。因此,该研究建议,SSA国家的政府应考虑减少外债构成中短期和长期外债的比例,以有利于IMF信贷;否则,该地区的经济增长可能会放缓,联合国的可持续发展目标可能会受到威胁。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Scientific African
Scientific African Multidisciplinary-Multidisciplinary
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
3.40%
发文量
332
审稿时长
10 weeks
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