Spatial dynamics of natural gas leaks in the United States: Localized impacts, spillover effects, and policy implications for air quality and safety.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-06-03 DOI:10.1111/risa.70049
Haithem Awijen, Younes Ben Zaied, Nidhaleddine Ben Cheikh
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study examines the localized and regional impacts of natural gas leaks on air quality and safety, with a specific focus on PM2.5 concentrations and incident dynamics across the United States. Using the Spatial Durbin Model, the analysis reveals significant direct and spillover effects of gas leaks, energy intensity, and environmental regulations on air pollution and safety outcomes. The results demonstrate that gas leaks substantially increase local PM2.5 levels, confirming the role of methane emissions in exacerbating particulate pollution. Furthermore, positive spatial spillovers from gas leaks and energy intensity underscore the transboundary nature of air quality challenges, highlighting the necessity of coordinated regional interventions. Conversely, stringent environmental regulations exhibit significant positive spillovers, catalyzing pollution control efforts in neighboring regions. The study offers actionable policy recommendations, including strengthening monitoring systems, advancing interregional cooperation, and integrating sustainable energy practices to address the interconnected challenges of air quality management and climate risk mitigation.

美国天然气泄漏的空间动态:局部影响、溢出效应以及对空气质量和安全的政策影响。
本研究考察了天然气泄漏对空气质量和安全的局部和区域影响,特别关注美国各地的PM2.5浓度和事件动态。利用空间德宾模型,分析揭示了气体泄漏、能源强度和环境法规对空气污染和安全结果的显著直接和溢出效应。结果表明,气体泄漏大大增加了当地的PM2.5水平,证实了甲烷排放在加剧颗粒物污染中的作用。此外,天然气泄漏和能源强度带来的积极空间溢出效应凸显了空气质量挑战的跨界性质,凸显了协调区域干预措施的必要性。相反,严格的环境法规表现出显著的正溢出效应,催化了邻近地区的污染控制努力。该研究提出了可行的政策建议,包括加强监测系统、推进区域间合作、整合可持续能源实践,以应对空气质量管理和减缓气候风险这两个相互关联的挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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