{"title":"Role of ECX futures in carbon pricing: Intraday evidence from EU-ETS","authors":"Charu Vadhava","doi":"10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112401","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the price discovery and volatility spillover between ECX spot and futures prices using high-frequency data for the fourth phase of EU-ETS. The analysis reveals the higher contribution of ECX futures in price formation. Furthermore, volatility spillover analysis shows that volatility transmission occurs predominantly from ECX futures to the spot market, making the ECX futures market a shock (information) transmitter and the spot market a shock (information) receiver in net terms. The informativeness of ECX futures in carbon pricing can be attributed to higher liquidity, higher trading volume, and the presence of informed institutional traders in the ECX futures market.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11468,"journal":{"name":"Economics Letters","volume":"253 ","pages":"Article 112401"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economics Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176525002381","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study investigates the price discovery and volatility spillover between ECX spot and futures prices using high-frequency data for the fourth phase of EU-ETS. The analysis reveals the higher contribution of ECX futures in price formation. Furthermore, volatility spillover analysis shows that volatility transmission occurs predominantly from ECX futures to the spot market, making the ECX futures market a shock (information) transmitter and the spot market a shock (information) receiver in net terms. The informativeness of ECX futures in carbon pricing can be attributed to higher liquidity, higher trading volume, and the presence of informed institutional traders in the ECX futures market.
期刊介绍:
Many economists today are concerned by the proliferation of journals and the concomitant labyrinth of research to be conquered in order to reach the specific information they require. To combat this tendency, Economics Letters has been conceived and designed outside the realm of the traditional economics journal. As a Letters Journal, it consists of concise communications (letters) that provide a means of rapid and efficient dissemination of new results, models and methods in all fields of economic research.