Temporal trends in prevalence of violence in Wales: analysis of a national victimisation survey

IF 3.9 3区医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

Public Health Pub Date : 2025-05-29 DOI:10.1016/j.puhe.2025.105775

P. Obolenskaya , A. Fadeeva , E.R. Barton , A. Walker , L.C. Snowdon , S. McManus

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Objectives

Monitoring violence trends and distribution is key for a public health approach to violence prevention. However, national survey estimates for Wales have not been disaggregated from those for England and Wales combined. We therefore aim to examine whether the trends in violence in Wales differ from trends in England.

Study design

Descriptive analysis of repeated cross-sectional data.

Methods

Using data from the Crime Survey for England and Wales, a nationally representative household victimisation survey, for years 2002–2020, we compare trends in prevalence of violence victimisation between Wales and England, for all adults and by gender.

Results

Country-disaggregated data shows that the prevalence of violence was generally lower in Wales than in England for the first decade of the century. Analyses by gender shows further disparities between countries. Males in Wales and England and females in England experienced a decline in violence victimisation between 2002 and 2015. However, no decline in violence was evident for females in Wales until after 2016.

Conclusions

Given differences in prevalence and trends in violence between Wales and England, relying on estimates based on the countries combined to inform strategic planning in Wales is problematic. Using Wales-specific estimates and trends in violence is therefore recommended.

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威尔士暴力流行的时间趋势：对全国受害者调查的分析

监测暴力趋势和分布情况是采取公共卫生方法预防暴力的关键。然而，威尔士的全国调查估计并没有从英格兰和威尔士的总和中分离出来。因此，我们的目标是研究威尔士的暴力趋势是否与英格兰的趋势不同。研究设计：重复横断面数据的描述性分析。方法使用英格兰和威尔士犯罪调查（一项具有全国代表性的家庭受害调查）2002-2020年的数据，我们比较了威尔士和英格兰之间所有成年人和性别的暴力受害流行趋势。结果按国家分类的数据显示，在本世纪头十年，威尔士的暴力发生率普遍低于英格兰。按性别进行的分析显示，各国之间的差距进一步扩大。2002年至2015年期间，威尔士和英格兰的男性以及英格兰的女性遭受暴力侵害的人数有所下降。然而，直到2016年之后，威尔士的女性暴力事件才出现明显下降。鉴于威尔士和英格兰在暴力发生率和趋势上的差异，依靠基于两国综合的估计来为威尔士的战略规划提供信息是有问题的。因此，建议使用威尔士特有的暴力估计数字和趋势。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Public Health 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生

CiteScore

7.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

280

审稿时长

37 days

期刊介绍： Public Health is an international, multidisciplinary peer-reviewed journal. It publishes original papers, reviews and short reports on all aspects of the science, philosophy, and practice of public health.