Integration of Single-Cell and Bulk Transcriptome to Reveal an Endothelial Transition Signature Predicting Bladder Cancer Prognosis.

Abstract

Endothelial cells (ECs) are critical drivers of tumour progression, and their angiogenic process has been widely studied. However, the post-angiogenic transition of tip endothelial cells after sprouting remains insufficiently characterised. In this study, we utilised single-cell RNA sequencing analyses to identify a novel EC transition signature associated with endothelial permeability, migration, metabolism, and vascular maturation. Within the transition pathway, we discovered a critical EC subpopulation, termed tip-to-capillary ECs (TC-ECs), that was enriched in tumour tissues. Comparative analyses of TC-ECs with tip and capillary ECs revealed distinct differences in pathway activity, cellular communication, and transcription factor activity. The EC transition signature demonstrated substantial prognostic significance, validated across multiple cancer cohorts from TCGA data, particularly in bladder cancer. Subsequently, we constructed a robust prognostic model for bladder cancer by integrating the EC transition signature with multiple machine-learning techniques. Compared with 31 existing models across the TCGA-BLCA, GSE32894, GSE32548, and GSE70691 cohorts, our model exhibited superior predictive performance. Stratification analysis identified significant differences between different risk groups regarding pathway activity, cellular infiltration, and therapeutic sensitivity. In conclusion, our comprehensive investigation identified a novel EC transition signature and developed a prognostic model for patient stratification, offering new insights into endothelial heterogeneity, angiogenesis regulation, and precision medicine.