Demand-side constraints on European solidarity for energy sanctions: Experimental evidence from seven EU countries.

IF 2.9 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE
European Union Politics Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-18 DOI:10.1177/14651165251318955
Ioana-Elena Oana, Alexandru D Moise, Zbigniew Truchlewski
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is testing bonds of energy solidarity in Europe as domestic and territorial conflicts can undermine unity and swift political action. To examine the magnitude of these divisions on the demand side, we use a factorial survey experiment in seven EU countries. On the one hand, the external security threat should push European unity further. On the other hand, the asymmetry of the crisis could fuel both between-country divisions, given differences in energy dependence and geopolitical context, and within-country divisions, across political groups, reducing the potential for common policy. Our results show that while there is a wide consensus on energy sanctions between countries (except Hungary), within countries there is a greater potential for conflict along identarian, partisan, and economic lines.

欧洲能源制裁团结的需求侧约束:来自七个欧盟国家的实验证据。
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰正在考验欧洲能源团结的纽带,因为国内和领土冲突可能破坏团结和迅速的政治行动。为了检验需求侧这些分歧的程度,我们在七个欧盟国家使用了析因调查实验。一方面,外部安全威胁将进一步推动欧洲团结。另一方面,由于能源依赖和地缘政治背景的差异,危机的不对称性可能加剧国与国之间的分歧,也可能加剧国内政治团体之间的分歧,从而降低制定共同政策的可能性。我们的研究结果表明,虽然各国之间(匈牙利除外)对能源制裁有着广泛的共识,但在国家内部,由于身份、党派和经济方面的原因,冲突的可能性更大。
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来源期刊
European Union Politics
European Union Politics POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
21.70%
发文量
37
期刊介绍: European Union Politics is an international academic journal for advanced peer-reviewed research and scholarship on all aspects of the process of government, politics and policy in the European Union. It aims to stimulate debate and provide a forum to bridge the theoretical and empirical analysis on the political unification of Europe. It represents no particular school or approach, nor is it wedded to any particular methodology. In particular it welcomes articles that offer a new theoretical argument, analyze original data in a novel fashion or present an innovative methodological approach. The Editors invite submissions from all sub-fields of contemporary political science, including international relations, comparative politics, public administration, public policy and political theory.
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