Communicating prognostic uncertainties in advanced multimorbidity: a multimethod qualitative study to co-design practice recommendations.

IF 3.6 3区 医学 Q2 GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY
European Geriatric Medicine Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-24 DOI:10.1007/s41999-025-01228-6
Simon Noah Etkind, Rosanna Fennessy, James Wang, Rhian M Simpson, Bernadette O'Neill, Stephen I G Barclay, Anna Spathis
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Purpose: Older adults with advanced multimorbidity face an uncertain future due to their unpredictable illness trajectory. Communication of such uncertainty is a core task in healthcare, but there is a limited evidence base to support communication of prognostic uncertainty in multimorbidity. We aimed to co-design clinical practice recommendations for communication of prognostic uncertainty in advanced multimorbidity, based on the lived experience and expertise of patients, carers, and healthcare professionals.

Methods: Multi-method qualitative co-design study. In phase one, older adults with advanced multimorbidity, their informal carers, and health professionals participated in interviews and focus groups exploring experiences of uncertainty communication. Transcripts were analysed thematically. In phase two, attendees at two stakeholder events provided feedback on the findings and iteratively developed practice recommendations.

Results: Fifteen older adults (median age 80, range 70-89), three informal carers, and 17 health professionals provided qualitative data. We then held workshops with 56 stakeholders. Participants considered that a personalised approach supported discussions of prognostic uncertainty; trusting care relationships, and regard for timing and preparation of all parties were needed. Participants agreed that discussions of uncertainty should proceed based on open and honest discussion within negotiated limits. Clinicians should signpost support and undertake parallel planning for the range of future possibilities to outline the boundaries of uncertainty.

Conclusion: This study has developed recommendations for communication of prognostic uncertainty in older people with advanced multimorbidity, to support parallel planning for an unpredictable future. Implementing these recommendations, it may reduce negative impacts of uncertainty and improve care experience.

Abstract Image

沟通预后不确定性在晚期多重疾病:多方法定性研究共同设计实践建议。
目的:晚期多病老年人由于其不可预测的疾病轨迹而面临着不确定的未来。这种不确定性的沟通是医疗保健的核心任务,但有有限的证据基础,以支持沟通的预后不确定性在多病。我们的目的是根据患者、护理人员和医疗保健专业人员的生活经验和专业知识,共同设计晚期多病患者预后不确定性交流的临床实践建议。方法:多方法定性协同设计研究。在第一阶段,患有晚期多重疾病的老年人、他们的非正式护理人员和卫生专业人员参加了访谈和焦点小组,探讨不确定性沟通的经验。转录本按主题进行分析。在第二阶段,两个涉众事件的参与者提供了关于发现和迭代开发实践建议的反馈。结果:15名老年人(中位年龄80岁,范围70-89),3名非正式护理人员和17名卫生专业人员提供了定性数据。然后,我们与56个利益相关者举行了研讨会。与会者认为,个性化方法支持对预后不确定性的讨论;信任的关怀关系,尊重时间和各方的准备是必要的。与会者一致认为,关于不确定性的讨论应在谈判限制的基础上进行公开和诚实的讨论。临床医生应该为未来的可能性范围提供支持和平行规划,以勾勒出不确定性的界限。结论:本研究提出了对晚期多病老年人预后不确定性沟通的建议,以支持对不可预测的未来进行并行规划。实施这些建议可以减少不确定性的负面影响并改善护理体验。
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来源期刊
European Geriatric Medicine
European Geriatric Medicine GERIATRICS & GERONTOLOGY-
CiteScore
6.70
自引率
2.60%
发文量
114
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: European Geriatric Medicine is the official journal of the European Geriatric Medicine Society (EUGMS). Launched in 2010, this journal aims to publish the highest quality material, both scientific and clinical, on all aspects of Geriatric Medicine. The EUGMS is interested in the promotion of Geriatric Medicine in any setting (acute or subacute care, rehabilitation, nursing homes, primary care, fall clinics, ambulatory assessment, dementia clinics..), and also in functionality in old age, comprehensive geriatric assessment, geriatric syndromes, geriatric education, old age psychiatry, models of geriatric care in health services, and quality assurance.
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