Radiomics based on dual-energy CT for noninvasive prediction of cervical lymph node metastases in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Abstract

Introduction

To develop and validate a machine learning model based on dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) for predicting cervical lymph node metastases (CLNM) in patients diagnosed with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods

This prospective single-center study enrolled patients with NPC and the study assessment included both DECT and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT). Radiomics features were extracted from each region of interest (ROI) for cervical lymph nodes using arterial and venous phase images at 100 keV and 150 keV, either individually as non-fusion models or combined as fusion models on the DECT images. The performance of the random forest (RF) models, combined with radiomics features, was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. DeLong's test was employed to compare model performances, while decision curve analysis (DCA) assessed the clinical utility of the predictive models.

Results

Sixty-six patients with NPC were included for analysis, which was divided into a training set (n = 42) and a validation set (n = 22). A total of 13 radiomic models were constructed (4 non-fusion models and 9 fusion models). In the non-fusion models, when the threshold value exceeded 0.4, the venous phase at 100 keV (V100) (AUC, 0.9667; 95 % confidence interval [95 % CI], 0.9363–0.9901) model exhibited a higher net benefit than other non-fusion models. The V100 + V150 fusion model achieved the best performance, with an AUC of 0.9697 (95 % CI, 0.9393–0.9907).

Conclusion

DECT-based radiomics effectively diagnosed CLNM in patients with NPC and may potentially be a valuable tool for clinical decision-making.

Implications for practice

This study improved pre-operative evaluation, treatment strategy selection, and prognostic evaluation for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma by combining DECT and radiomics to predict cervical lymph node status prior to treatment.