{"title":"A simple model to facilitate fast humanitarian funding","authors":"Nicolas Rost","doi":"10.1111/disa.12688","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This article presents a simple regression model to inform decisions on the allocation amount from the United Nations' Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF) in response to new or deteriorating humanitarian emergencies. The model offers a quick and user-friendly way to summarise historical (2016–24) CERF allocations and to estimate amounts for new allocations. It includes four elements: type of emergency; total funding required for a short-term humanitarian response; overall humanitarian needs and risks in the country; and the number of people who would receive humanitarian assistance or protection services with a CERF allocation. The model is integrated into CERF's decision-making process, which considers other factors as well. It provides a check by generating an analytical comparison with almost 380 past allocations. In an external review, the model has been found ‘fit for purpose’. The article concludes with a discussion of other potential uses of the model and how it could be developed.</p>","PeriodicalId":48088,"journal":{"name":"Disasters","volume":"49 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Disasters","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/disa.12688","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This article presents a simple regression model to inform decisions on the allocation amount from the United Nations' Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF) in response to new or deteriorating humanitarian emergencies. The model offers a quick and user-friendly way to summarise historical (2016–24) CERF allocations and to estimate amounts for new allocations. It includes four elements: type of emergency; total funding required for a short-term humanitarian response; overall humanitarian needs and risks in the country; and the number of people who would receive humanitarian assistance or protection services with a CERF allocation. The model is integrated into CERF's decision-making process, which considers other factors as well. It provides a check by generating an analytical comparison with almost 380 past allocations. In an external review, the model has been found ‘fit for purpose’. The article concludes with a discussion of other potential uses of the model and how it could be developed.
期刊介绍：
Disasters is a major, peer-reviewed quarterly journal reporting on all aspects of disaster studies, policy and management. It provides a forum for academics, policymakers and practitioners to publish high-quality research and practice concerning natural catastrophes, anthropogenic disasters, complex political emergencies and protracted crises around the world. The journal promotes the interchange of ideas and experience, maintaining a balance between field reports, case study articles of general interest and academic papers. Disasters: Is the leading journal in the field of disasters, protracted crises and complex emergencies Influences disaster prevention, mitigation and response policies and practices Adopts a world-wide geographical perspective Contains a mix of academic papers and field studies Promotes the interchange of ideas between practitioners, policy-makers and academics.
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号
