Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and material use for passenger vehicles in Türkiye: A scenario-based analysis with material efficiency strategies

IF 11.2 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL

Resources Conservation and Recycling Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI:10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108385

Ayla Alkan , Stefan Pauliuk

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Abstract

Türkiye has not yet decoupled its economy from energy and material consumption, but aims to transition to a circular economy and become carbon neutral by 2053. The potential of energy system transformation and efficient material use has not yet been assessed for many services in Türkiye. This study analyzes the impacts of these transformations on passenger vehicles, using the RECC model, a physical circular economy model, under two energy and three socioeconomic scenarios. In SSP1, 20% savings in 2020–2053 cumulative GHG emissions can be achieved through energy efficiency, and material efficiency can save an additional 12%. In the low demand scenario, LED, cumulative emissions reduction reaches 42%. In SSP1, cumulative material savings can be 45%, and secondary material use reaches 50% share. LED can achieve Türkiye’s targets for the transport sector, and its implementation depends on financial and R&D support to industries, infrastructure improvements, and changes in consumer driving habits.

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减少中国乘用车温室气体排放和材料使用：基于场景的材料效率策略分析

日本尚未将其经济与能源和材料消耗脱钩，但其目标是向循环经济过渡，到2053年实现碳中和。能源系统改造和有效材料使用的潜力尚未对缅甸的许多服务进行评估。本研究采用RECC模型（物理循环经济模型），在两种能源和三种社会经济情景下分析了这些转变对乘用车的影响。在SSP1中，通过能源效率可以实现2020-2053年累计温室气体排放减少20%，材料效率可以额外节省12%。在低需求场景下，LED累计减排达到42%。在SSP1中，累计材料节约可达45%，二次材料利用达到50%。LED可以实现t rkiye在交通领域的目标，其实施取决于对行业的财政和研发支持、基础设施的改善以及消费者驾驶习惯的改变。

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来源期刊

Resources Conservation and Recycling 环境科学-工程：环境

CiteScore

22.90

自引率

6.10%

发文量

625

审稿时长

23 days

期刊介绍： The journal Resources, Conservation & Recycling welcomes contributions from research, which consider sustainable management and conservation of resources. The journal prioritizes understanding the transformation processes crucial for transitioning toward more sustainable production and consumption systems. It highlights technological, economic, institutional, and policy aspects related to specific resource management practices such as conservation, recycling, and resource substitution, as well as broader strategies like improving resource productivity and restructuring production and consumption patterns. Contributions may address regional, national, or international scales and can range from individual resources or technologies to entire sectors or systems. Authors are encouraged to explore scientific and methodological issues alongside practical, environmental, and economic implications. However, manuscripts focusing solely on laboratory experiments without discussing their broader implications will not be considered for publication in the journal.