{"title":"Assisting the Diagnosis of Cirrhosis in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients Based on Machine Learning Algorithms: A Novel Non-Invasive Approach.","authors":"Emre Dirican, Tayibe Bal, Yusuf Onlen, Figen Sarigul, Ulku User, Nagehan Didem Sari, Behice Kurtaran, Ebubekir Senates, Alper Gunduz, Esra Zerdali, Hasan Karsen, Ayse Batirel, Ridvan Karaali, Hatice Rahmet Guner, Tansu Yamazhan, Sukran Kose, Nurettin Erben, Nevin Koc Ince, Iftihar Koksal, Nefise Oztoprak, Gulsen Yoruk, Suheyla Komur, Sibel Yildiz Kaya, Ilkay Bozkurt, Ozgur Gunal, Ilknur Esen Yildiz, Dilara Inan, Sener Barut, Mustafa Namiduru, Selma Tosun, Kamuran Turker, Alper Sener, Kenan Hizel, Nurcan Baykam, Fazilet Duygu, Hurrem Bodur, Guray Can, Hanefi Cem Gul, Ayse Sagmak Tartar, Guven Celebi, Mahmut Sunnetcioglu, Oguz Karabay, Hayat Kumbasar Karaosmanoglu, Fatma Sirmatel, Omer Fehmi Tabak","doi":"10.1002/jcla.70054","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>This study aimed to determine the important features and cut-off values after demonstrating the detectability of cirrhosis using routine laboratory test results of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients in machine learning (ML) algorithms.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective multicenter (37 referral centers) study included the data obtained from the Hepatitis C Turkey registry of 1164 patients with biopsy-proven CHC. Three different ML algorithms were used to classify the presence/absence of cirrhosis with the determined features.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The highest performance in the prediction of cirrhosis (Accuracy = 0.89, AUC = 0.87) was obtained from the Random Forest (RF) method. The five most important features that contributed to the classification were platelet, αlpha-feto protein (AFP), age, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and prothrombin time (PT). The cut-off values of these features were obtained as platelet < 182.000/mm<sup>3</sup>, AFP > 5.49 ng/mL, age > 52 years, GGT > 39.9 U/L, and PT > 12.35 s. Using cut-off values, the risk coefficients were AOR = 4.82 for platelet, AOR = 3.49 for AFP, AOR = 4.32 for age, AOR = 3.04 for GGT, and AOR = 2.20 for PT.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>These findings indicated that the RF-based ML algorithm could classify cirrhosis with high accuracy. Thus, crucial features and cut-off values for physicians in the detection of cirrhosis were determined. In addition, although AFP is not included in non-invasive indexes, it had a remarkable contribution in predicting cirrhosis.</p><p><strong>Trial registration: </strong>Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT03145844.</p>","PeriodicalId":15509,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Clinical Laboratory Analysis","volume":" ","pages":"e70054"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Clinical Laboratory Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/jcla.70054","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MEDICAL LABORATORY TECHNOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Aim: This study aimed to determine the important features and cut-off values after demonstrating the detectability of cirrhosis using routine laboratory test results of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients in machine learning (ML) algorithms.
Methods: This retrospective multicenter (37 referral centers) study included the data obtained from the Hepatitis C Turkey registry of 1164 patients with biopsy-proven CHC. Three different ML algorithms were used to classify the presence/absence of cirrhosis with the determined features.
Results: The highest performance in the prediction of cirrhosis (Accuracy = 0.89, AUC = 0.87) was obtained from the Random Forest (RF) method. The five most important features that contributed to the classification were platelet, αlpha-feto protein (AFP), age, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and prothrombin time (PT). The cut-off values of these features were obtained as platelet < 182.000/mm3, AFP > 5.49 ng/mL, age > 52 years, GGT > 39.9 U/L, and PT > 12.35 s. Using cut-off values, the risk coefficients were AOR = 4.82 for platelet, AOR = 3.49 for AFP, AOR = 4.32 for age, AOR = 3.04 for GGT, and AOR = 2.20 for PT.
Conclusion: These findings indicated that the RF-based ML algorithm could classify cirrhosis with high accuracy. Thus, crucial features and cut-off values for physicians in the detection of cirrhosis were determined. In addition, although AFP is not included in non-invasive indexes, it had a remarkable contribution in predicting cirrhosis.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Clinical Laboratory Analysis publishes original articles on newly developing modes of technology and laboratory assays, with emphasis on their application in current and future clinical laboratory testing. This includes reports from the following fields: immunochemistry and toxicology, hematology and hematopathology, immunopathology, molecular diagnostics, microbiology, genetic testing, immunohematology, and clinical chemistry.