Geographies of anti-political establishment parties in the Netherlands: The role of broader welfare and local representation

IF 4.9 1区社会学 Q1 GEOGRAPHY

Political Geography Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI:10.1016/j.polgeo.2025.103353

Rienje Veenhof , Sol Maria Halleck Vega , Eveline van Leeuwen

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The Dutch provincial elections of 2023 saw an electoral victory of the new challenger party BBB (Farmer-Citizens Movement). This fits in an on-going trend of electoral successes by anti-establishment parties, including victories for the PVV (Party for Freedom) and Forum for Democracy (FVD). This article investigates the geographical electoral patterns of protest voting and underlying discontent. It compares the electoral geographies of Dutch protest parties BBB, PVV and FVD on the neighborhood-level in the provincial elections of 2023 and 2019, using a multilevel modelling approach incorporating the municipal and neighborhood level. Voting shares are linked to a broad set of spatial determinants for regional discontent. Results show that the parties have distinct electoral geographies and indicate different roots of discontent. Empirical evidence shows the importance of broader welfare, local livability and well-being in electoral anti-establishment voting patterns. Furthermore, a relationship is found between anti-establishment voting and support for local candidates.

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荷兰反政治建制政党的地理分布：更广泛的福利和地方代表性的作用

在2023年的荷兰地方选举中，新的挑战者党BBB（农民市民运动）获得了胜利。这符合反建制政党在选举中获胜的趋势，包括自由党（PVV）和民主论坛（FVD）。本文研究了抗议投票的地理选举模式和潜在的不满情绪。在2023年和2019年的省级选举中，该研究使用了包含市政和社区层面的多层次建模方法，比较了荷兰抗议政党BBB、PVV和FVD在社区层面的选举地理位置。投票权与地区不满的一系列广泛的空间决定因素有关。结果显示，各党派的选举地域不同，不满的根源也不同。经验证据表明，更广泛的福利、地方宜居性和福祉在选举反建制投票模式中的重要性。此外，反建制投票与对地方候选人的支持之间存在关系。

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来源期刊

Political Geography Multiple-

CiteScore

6.60

自引率

14.60%

发文量

210

期刊介绍： Political Geography is the flagship journal of political geography and research on the spatial dimensions of politics. The journal brings together leading contributions in its field, promoting international and interdisciplinary communication. Research emphases cover all scales of inquiry and diverse theories, methods, and methodologies.