The DSK stock-flow consistent agent-based integrated assessment model

IF 6.6 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-20 DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108641

Severin Reissl , Luca E. Fierro , Francesco Lamperti , Andrea Roventini

引用次数: 0

Abstract

We present an updated, stock-flow consistent version of the ‘Dystopian Schumpeter meeting Keynes’ agent-based integrated assessment model. By embedding the model in a fully specified accounting system, all balance sheet items and financial flows can be explicitly and consistently tracked throughout a simulation. This allows for improved analysis of climate change and climate policy scenarios in terms of their systemic implications for agent and sector-level balance sheet dynamics and financial stability. We provide an extensive description of the updated model, representing the most detailed outline of a model from the well-established ‘Keynes + Schumpeter’ family available to date. Following a discussion of calibration and validation, we present a range of example scenarios.

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基于agent的DSK库存流一致性综合评估模型

我们提出了“反乌托邦熊彼特会见凯恩斯”基于代理人的综合评估模型的更新的、股票流量一致的版本。通过将模型嵌入到完全指定的会计系统中，可以在整个模拟过程中明确和一致地跟踪所有资产负债表项目和财务流。这样就可以从气候变化和气候政策情景对主体和部门层面的资产负债表动态和金融稳定的系统性影响方面改进对它们的分析。我们提供了更新模型的广泛描述，代表了迄今为止完善的“凯恩斯+熊彼特”家族中最详细的模型大纲。在讨论了校准和验证之后，我们给出了一系列示例场景。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Ecological Economics 环境科学-环境科学

CiteScore

12.00

自引率

5.70%

发文量

313

审稿时长

6 months

期刊介绍： Ecological Economics is concerned with extending and integrating the understanding of the interfaces and interplay between "nature''s household" (ecosystems) and "humanity''s household" (the economy). Ecological economics is an interdisciplinary field defined by a set of concrete problems or challenges related to governing economic activity in a way that promotes human well-being, sustainability, and justice. The journal thus emphasizes critical work that draws on and integrates elements of ecological science, economics, and the analysis of values, behaviors, cultural practices, institutional structures, and societal dynamics. The journal is transdisciplinary in spirit and methodologically open, drawing on the insights offered by a variety of intellectual traditions, and appealing to a diverse readership. Specific research areas covered include: valuation of natural resources, sustainable agriculture and development, ecologically integrated technology, integrated ecologic-economic modelling at scales from local to regional to global, implications of thermodynamics for economics and ecology, renewable resource management and conservation, critical assessments of the basic assumptions underlying current economic and ecological paradigms and the implications of alternative assumptions, economic and ecological consequences of genetically engineered organisms, and gene pool inventory and management, alternative principles for valuing natural wealth, integrating natural resources and environmental services into national income and wealth accounts, methods of implementing efficient environmental policies, case studies of economic-ecologic conflict or harmony, etc. New issues in this area are rapidly emerging and will find a ready forum in Ecological Economics.