Is Net Zero 2050/2060 a sensible forward-looking pathway for human civilization? A geological long-term perspective

IF 7.2 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Gondwana Research Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI:10.1016/j.gr.2025.04.006

David I. Groves, M. Santosh, Daniel Müller

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Since formation of the IPCC, increasing concerns have been voiced about potential climate changes, particularly global warming, caused by anthropogenic CO2 emissions. More extreme climate models projected by the media are suggested to cause future global catastrophes such as rapid sea level rise and increasing frequency of destructive weather events. Although no catastrophic predictions have eventuated, anxiety by global governments has led to introduction of incredibly expensive drastic measures to control these emissions through Net Zero 2050. This would mark phase one of an endless energy transition from fossil fuels to clean energy powered by wind turbines and solar panels and clean transport through battery-powered EVs. The dimensions and total cost of this multi-phase transition to serve an increasingly energy-hungry civilization are staggeringly high.

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2050/2060年的净零排放是人类文明明智的前瞻性道路吗？地质的长期视角

自政府间气候变化专门委员会成立以来，人们对人为二氧化碳排放造成的潜在气候变化，特别是全球变暖日益感到担忧。媒体预测的更极端的气候模式被认为会导致未来的全球灾难，如海平面迅速上升和破坏性天气事件的频率增加。虽然没有灾难性的预测最终发生，但全球政府的焦虑导致引入了极其昂贵的激烈措施，以控制这些排放，到2050年实现净零排放。这将标志着从化石燃料到由风力涡轮机和太阳能电池板驱动的清洁能源以及通过电池供电的电动汽车进行清洁运输的无休止的能源过渡的第一阶段。这种多阶段转型的规模和总成本都高得惊人，以服务于日益能源匮乏的文明。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Gondwana Research 地学-地球科学综合

CiteScore

12.90

自引率

6.60%

发文量

298

审稿时长

65 days

期刊介绍： Gondwana Research (GR) is an International Journal aimed to promote high quality research publications on all topics related to solid Earth, particularly with reference to the origin and evolution of continents, continental assemblies and their resources. GR is an "all earth science" journal with no restrictions on geological time, terrane or theme and covers a wide spectrum of topics in geosciences such as geology, geomorphology, palaeontology, structure, petrology, geochemistry, stable isotopes, geochronology, economic geology, exploration geology, engineering geology, geophysics, and environmental geology among other themes, and provides an appropriate forum to integrate studies from different disciplines and different terrains. In addition to regular articles and thematic issues, the journal invites high profile state-of-the-art reviews on thrust area topics for its column, ''GR FOCUS''. Focus articles include short biographies and photographs of the authors. Short articles (within ten printed pages) for rapid publication reporting important discoveries or innovative models of global interest will be considered under the category ''GR LETTERS''.