Long-Term Trends in the Burden of Migraine in China: A Comprehensive Analysis from 1990 to 2021 and Projections to 2035.

IF 4 3区医学 Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY

Neuroepidemiology Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI:10.1159/000545886

Cifeng Zhang, Xiaoping Wang

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Introduction: Migraine is a widespread neurological disorder that significantly affects quality of life. However, data on its burden in China remain limited. This study analyzes long-term trends (1990-2021) and projects future patterns.

Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, we examined migraine incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). Temporal trends were assessed via joinpoint regression, while age-period-cohort (APC) analysis and decomposition analyses identified key influences. Bayesian APC modeling projected future trends through 2035.

Results: Migraine imposes a substantial health burden in China, with an annual incidence of 13.04 million cases, a prevalence of 184.75 million cases, and 6.98 million DALYs cases. Females are disproportionately affected, with peak prevalence occurs in the 30-49 age group. Individuals born post-1960 show increased susceptibility, as linked to demographic and lifestyle shifts. Population growth is a major driver of rising prevalence, with projections indicating a continued increase through 2035.

Conclusion: Migraine remains a significant public health concern in China, particularly among women. Targeted prevention, early detection, and intervention strategies are essential to mitigate its growing burden.

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中国偏头痛负担的长期趋势：1990 - 2021年的综合分析和2035年的预测。

偏头痛是一种广泛存在的神经系统疾病，严重影响生活质量。然而，有关其在华业务负担的数据仍然有限。本研究分析了长期趋势（1990-2021），并预测了未来的模式。方法使用全球疾病负担（GBD） 2021数据库，研究偏头痛的发病率、患病率和残疾调整生命年（DALYs）。通过连接点回归评估时间趋势，而年龄-时期-队列（APC）分析和分解分析确定了关键影响因素。贝叶斯APC模型预测了到2035年的未来趋势。结果偏头痛在中国造成了巨大的健康负担，年发病率为1304万例，患病率为18475万例，DALYs为698万例。女性受到的影响不成比例，发病率在30-49岁年龄组达到高峰。1960年后出生的人表现出更高的易感性，比如与人口和生活方式的转变有关。人口增长是患病率上升的主要驱动因素，预测表明到2035年将继续增长。结论：偏头痛在中国仍然是一个重要的公共卫生问题，尤其是在女性中。有针对性的预防、早期发现和干预战略对于减轻其日益加重的负担至关重要。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Neuroepidemiology 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生

CiteScore

9.90

自引率

1.80%

发文量

审稿时长

6-12 weeks

期刊介绍： ''Neuroepidemiology'' is the only internationally recognised peer-reviewed periodical devoted to descriptive, analytical and experimental studies in the epidemiology of neurologic disease. The scope of the journal expands the boundaries of traditional clinical neurology by providing new insights regarding the etiology, determinants, distribution, management and prevention of diseases of the nervous system.