The burden of migraine and predictions in the Asia-Pacific region, 1990-2021: a comparative analysis of China, South Korea, Japan, and Australia.

IF 7.3 1区 医学 Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY
Yun-Xia Wang, Guang-Shuang Lu, Jin-Jing Zhao, Wei Dai, Na Zheng, Guo-En Yao, Ruo-Zhuo Liu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Migraine is a leading cause of disability worldwide, significantly impacting quality of life and healthcare systems. Despite its high prevalence and burden, migraine remains underprioritized in global health policies. This study examines the epidemiological trends of migraine in Australia, China, Japan, and South Korea from 1990 to 2021, highlighting regional disparities and forecasting future burdens.

Methods: This study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 to analyze incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) of migraine. Age-standardized rates (ASRs) were calculated to enable fair cross-country comparisons. Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to assess temporal trends, while Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) modeling was used to project future trends until 2050. Additionally, decomposition analysis was conducted to differentiate the effects of population aging, growth, and epidemiological changes.

Results: In 2021, China had the highest migraine burden, with 13.05 million new cases and 184.75 million prevalent cases, followed by Australia, Japan, and South Korea. Incidence rates peaked in adolescence (10-14 years), while prevalence and disability were highest in middle-aged women (40-44 years). From 1990 to 2021, Australia exhibited stable trends, China experienced increasing burden, Japan saw a decline due to aging, and Korea exhibited mixed patterns influenced by opposing demographic and epidemiological forces. Future projections suggest a stable trend in Australia, declining incidence in China and Japan, and continued burden in Korea.

Conclusion: Migraine remains a significant public health challenge across all four countries, with age, gender, and demographic changes playing key roles in burden variations. The study highlights the need for region-specific healthcare strategies and age- and gender-sensitive interventions. Future research should explore socioeconomic, behavioral, and healthcare access factors to refine migraine management strategies.

1990-2021年亚太地区偏头痛负担及预测:中国、韩国、日本和澳大利亚的比较分析
背景:偏头痛是世界范围内致残的主要原因,显著影响生活质量和医疗保健系统。尽管偏头痛发病率高、负担重,但在全球卫生政策中仍未得到充分重视。本研究调查了1990年至2021年澳大利亚、中国、日本和韩国偏头痛的流行病学趋势,强调了地区差异并预测了未来的负担。方法:本研究利用全球疾病负担(GBD) 2021的数据来分析偏头痛的发病率、患病率和残疾生活年限(YLDs)。计算年龄标准化率(ASRs)以实现公平的跨国比较。接合点回归分析用于评估时间趋势,而贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型用于预测到2050年的未来趋势。此外,还进行了分解分析,以区分人口老龄化、人口增长和流行病学变化的影响。结果:2021年,中国偏头痛负担最高,有1305万新发病例和18475万流行病例,其次是澳大利亚、日本和韩国。发病率在青春期(10-14岁)达到顶峰,而中年妇女(40-44岁)的患病率和致残率最高。从1990年到2021年,澳大利亚呈现稳定趋势,中国负担增加,日本因老龄化而下降,韩国在人口和流行病学力量相反的影响下呈现混合模式。未来的预测表明,澳大利亚的趋势稳定,中国和日本的发病率下降,韩国的负担将继续增加。结论:在这四个国家,偏头痛仍然是一个重大的公共卫生挑战,年龄、性别和人口变化在负担变化中起着关键作用。该研究强调需要制定针对特定区域的保健战略以及对年龄和性别问题敏感的干预措施。未来的研究应探索社会经济、行为和医疗保健获取因素,以完善偏头痛的管理策略。
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来源期刊
Journal of Headache and Pain
Journal of Headache and Pain 医学-临床神经学
CiteScore
11.80
自引率
13.50%
发文量
143
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Headache and Pain, a peer-reviewed open-access journal published under the BMC brand, a part of Springer Nature, is dedicated to researchers engaged in all facets of headache and related pain syndromes. It encompasses epidemiology, public health, basic science, translational medicine, clinical trials, and real-world data. With a multidisciplinary approach, The Journal of Headache and Pain addresses headache medicine and related pain syndromes across all medical disciplines. It particularly encourages submissions in clinical, translational, and basic science fields, focusing on pain management, genetics, neurology, and internal medicine. The journal publishes research articles, reviews, letters to the Editor, as well as consensus articles and guidelines, aimed at promoting best practices in managing patients with headaches and related pain.
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