A Study Based on b-Value and Information Entropy in the 2008 Wenchuan 8.0 Earthquake.

Abstract

Earthquakes, as serious natural disasters, have greatly harmed human beings. In recent years, the combination of acoustic emission technology and information entropy has shown good prospects in earthquake prediction. In this paper, we study the application of acoustic emission b-values and information entropy in earthquake prediction in China and analyze their changing characteristics and roles. The acoustic emission b-value is based on the Gutenberg-Richter law, which quantifies the relationship between magnitude and occurrence frequency. Lower b-values are usually associated with higher earthquake risks. Meanwhile, information entropy is used to quantify the uncertainty of the system, which can reflect the distribution characteristics of seismic events and their dynamic changes. In this study, acoustic emission data from several stations around the 2008 Wenchuan 8.0 earthquake are selected for analysis. By calculating the acoustic emission b-value and information entropy, the following is found: (1) Both the b-value and information entropy show obvious changes before the main earthquake: during the seismic phase, the acoustic emission b-value decreases significantly, and the information entropy also shows obvious decreasing entropy changes. The b-values of stations AXI and DFU continue to decrease in the 40 days before the earthquake, while the b-values of stations JYA and JMG begin to decrease significantly in the 17 days or so before the earthquake. The information entropy changes in the JJS and YZP stations are relatively obvious, especially for the YZP station, which shows stronger aggregation characteristics of seismic activity. This phenomenon indicates that the regional underground structure is in an extremely unstable state. (2) The stress evolution process of the rock mass is divided into three stages: in the first stage, the rock mass enters a sub-stabilized state about 40 days before the main earthquake; in the second stage, the rupture of the cracks changes from a disordered state to an ordered state, which occurs about 10 days before the earthquake; and in the third stage, the impending destabilization of the entire subsurface structure is predicted, which occurs in a short period before the earthquake. In summary, the combined analysis of the acoustic emission b-value and information entropy provides a novel dual-parameter synergy framework for earthquake monitoring and early warning, enhancing precursor recognition through the coupling of stress evolution and system disorder dynamics.