Rosario Vasta, Emanuele Koumantakis, Antonio Canosa, Umberto Manera, Maurizio Grassano, Francesca Palumbo, Sara Cabras, Enrico Matteoni, Francesca Di Pede, Filippo De Mattei, Filippo Vergnano, Jessica Mandrioli, Cecilia Simonini, Ilaria Martinelli, Fabiola De Marchi, Letizia Mazzini, Cristina Moglia, Andrea Calvo, Adriano Chiò
{"title":"Phosphatemia is an Independent Prognostic Factor in Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis.","authors":"Rosario Vasta, Emanuele Koumantakis, Antonio Canosa, Umberto Manera, Maurizio Grassano, Francesca Palumbo, Sara Cabras, Enrico Matteoni, Francesca Di Pede, Filippo De Mattei, Filippo Vergnano, Jessica Mandrioli, Cecilia Simonini, Ilaria Martinelli, Fabiola De Marchi, Letizia Mazzini, Cristina Moglia, Andrea Calvo, Adriano Chiò","doi":"10.1002/ana.27252","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of several muscle damage biomarkers.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (PARALS) were considered for this study. Survival was defined as the time from diagnosis to death, tracheostomy, or the censoring date. Blood levels of potassium, creatinine, creatine kinase, phosphorus, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) diagnosis were evaluated as potential prognostic biomarkers. A Cox model was developed for each biomarker and adjusted for sex, onset age, onset site, and diagnostic delay. Significant findings from PARALS were evaluated in the Pooled Resource Open-Access Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Clinical Trials (PRO-ACT) database. Additionally, a joint model was constructed to evaluate the prognostic role of phosphatemia slope over time using longitudinal data from PRO-ACT.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 1,444 and 1,023 patients were included in the PARALS and PRO-ACT cohorts, respectively. Only creatinine (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.50-0.85) and phosphorus (HR = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.04-1.24) showed a significant association with survival in the PARALS cohort. These findings were further validated in the PRO-ACT cohort (creatinine HR = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.13-0.35, p < 0.0001; phosphorus HR = 2.35, 95% CI = 1.13-4.88, p = 0.02). Longitudinal data from the PRO-ACT database showed that an increase of 0.1 mmol/l per month in phosphate levels was also associated with a HR of 8.26 (95% CI = 1.07-96.6, p = 0.044).</p><p><strong>Interpretation: </strong>Creatininemia was confirmed as a prognostic marker in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Additionally, both phosphatemia levels at diagnosis and its rate of change over time were identified as a potential prognostic marker for ALS. As with other blood biomarkers, phosphate levels are cost-effective and minimally invasive to measure, supporting their potential use in clinical trials. ANN NEUROL 2025.</p>","PeriodicalId":127,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Neurology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":8.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Annals of Neurology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/ana.27252","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CLINICAL NEUROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of several muscle damage biomarkers.
Methods: Data from Piemonte and Valle d'Aosta Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (PARALS) were considered for this study. Survival was defined as the time from diagnosis to death, tracheostomy, or the censoring date. Blood levels of potassium, creatinine, creatine kinase, phosphorus, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) diagnosis were evaluated as potential prognostic biomarkers. A Cox model was developed for each biomarker and adjusted for sex, onset age, onset site, and diagnostic delay. Significant findings from PARALS were evaluated in the Pooled Resource Open-Access Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Clinical Trials (PRO-ACT) database. Additionally, a joint model was constructed to evaluate the prognostic role of phosphatemia slope over time using longitudinal data from PRO-ACT.
Results: A total of 1,444 and 1,023 patients were included in the PARALS and PRO-ACT cohorts, respectively. Only creatinine (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.65, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.50-0.85) and phosphorus (HR = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.04-1.24) showed a significant association with survival in the PARALS cohort. These findings were further validated in the PRO-ACT cohort (creatinine HR = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.13-0.35, p < 0.0001; phosphorus HR = 2.35, 95% CI = 1.13-4.88, p = 0.02). Longitudinal data from the PRO-ACT database showed that an increase of 0.1 mmol/l per month in phosphate levels was also associated with a HR of 8.26 (95% CI = 1.07-96.6, p = 0.044).
Interpretation: Creatininemia was confirmed as a prognostic marker in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Additionally, both phosphatemia levels at diagnosis and its rate of change over time were identified as a potential prognostic marker for ALS. As with other blood biomarkers, phosphate levels are cost-effective and minimally invasive to measure, supporting their potential use in clinical trials. ANN NEUROL 2025.
期刊介绍:
Annals of Neurology publishes original articles with potential for high impact in understanding the pathogenesis, clinical and laboratory features, diagnosis, treatment, outcomes and science underlying diseases of the human nervous system. Articles should ideally be of broad interest to the academic neurological community rather than solely to subspecialists in a particular field. Studies involving experimental model system, including those in cell and organ cultures and animals, of direct translational relevance to the understanding of neurological disease are also encouraged.